08.
05.14
Missing barbecue weather keeps prices at the same level

Pigs-Cockpit, 2014-05-08

Bullish
  • Lacking the appropriate weather for the seasonal Grill sales potential
  • moderate numbers of battle
  • Modest expectations of small business opportunities in third countries because of U.S. failure
  • Still not buried hopes on Russia export
Bearish
  • Grill sales volumes in the country are back
  • Third country export on insufficient level

Battle pork market Germany

2014

19./20.kW

Thu until MI

18./19.kW

do until MI

17./18.kW

do until MI

16./17.kW

do until MI

15./16.KW do-MI

14./15.KW do-MI

14.kW

13.kW

12 KW

11 KW

V. price (€ / kg)

1.60

1.60

1.60

1.58

1.63

1.60

1.55

1.55

1.61

1.63

reservations (units)

229.753

228.199

228.819

224.900

222. 800

217.600

220.700

229.200

214800

221.600

2014

20 KW

19 KW

18 KW

17 KW

16 KW

15 KW

14 KW

13 KW

12 KW

11 KW

battle figures (units)    

842.411

915.792

1.032.354

1.030.714

993.254

1.026.540

985.879

960.578

ISN-Internet auction

mo, 12.05

Mon, 05 05

Mon, April 28

di, 22.04

mo, 14.04

mo, 07.04

mo, 31.03

MI

MI

MI

average price (€/ kg)  

1.69

1.67

1.64

1.66

1.66

1.65

1.63

1.59

1.62

supernatant in %  

0

14.1%

6.5%

18.5%

20.7%

25.4%

0

18%

0

Pig prices in Germany unchanged by do, 08.05 till MI, 14.05 (19./20.KW)

The ISN Internet Exchange on Mon, may 05, 2014 has led to an average price of €1.69 / kg (+ 0.02 €/ kg) in a range from 1.66 to €1.71 / kg. All 2,850 offered pigs were sold.

General market and prices:

The hopes of increasing sales with its prices after the holiday weeks were not met due to the unfavorable weather conditions. The low number of battle have not can inspire the courses.

current market situation in major production areas:

Denmark:Danish pork prices remained unchanged in the 19 KW. The battle figures remain continue to - 4% behind last year's levels. For the next 20 KW (8th to 14th May) the strike price remains unchanged, but heavy pigs small discounts.

In France/Brittany were small Monday market (05 May 14) -1.5 ct / kg paid at slightly lower buoyancy. At the Thursday market (08 May 14) were -2.9 ct / kg less paid. The reported numbers of battle in whole France failed again bigger.

The Dutch battle company have paid mostly unchanged in the 19 KW. The slaughter numbers have rebounded. The prices for the 20 KW should remain unchanged

Belgium:Pork prices in the 19 KW were + 1 ct / kg increased. the battle figures rose again after the holiday-related declines. The quotes of battle company of the 20 KW remain unchanged

Germany: The battle figures for Germany are in the last two weeks below the 1 million units mark (see table above) remained.

For the upcoming period from Thursday 8th to Wednesday May 14. (19 and 20 KW)the Association Award with €1.60 per kg or index point was keep in a range from 1.60 to €1.65 / kg, unchanged.

The announced delivery quantities next week move at the top average (see table above).

The applicable in Austria pigs base price for the 18/19 KW remained unchanged. The listing for the upcoming 19-20 KW (08-14.05 2014) also remains unchanged.

Pork prices in Spain (08 may 2014) remain unchanged (ct/kg)

In (upper), pork prices in the 19 KW were Italy on Monday (05.05) in Milano 0 ct/kg, in Modena to -3.5 ct / kg, on Tuesday (place) in Reggio Emilia by + 2 to -4 ct / kg, on Wednesday (07.05.) i n Cremona to + 2 up - 3 ct / kg traded. Price declines is focused on heavy pigs. The reported slaughter numbers have decreased significantly after the strong gains of the anti-Government turn of the month (April/May).

The BBQ weather is waiting. Memories are awakened to the previous year. The reduced slaughter amounts sufficient for the paragraph. In the processing sector, demand remains too weak to offer measured. There is a lack of still sufficient export opportunities in third countries. Small bright spots are the increasing sales in many small countries of import. The export losses in the United States may offer greater opportunities in the next few months. The hopes on Russian imports are still not abandoned: Denmark goes mobile!

The high US the Lean hogs Futures Quotes remain 2014 on high Seitwärtsniveau converted more than €2 / kg SG in the summer months. Surprisingly, the US export figures have risen yet. The reason is seen in the stocking actions of the importing countries. The PEDv-related failures of the battle are now continue to rise and reaches its peak in July/August 2014.

Chinese pork prices remain low--compared to an average level of approximately €2.40 / kg between 1.65 to €1.70 / kg. The Chinese intervention purchases have so far shown little effect. Sows in strong measure are slaughtered as a result of the high economic efficiency losses. That temporarily boosts the meat offering. Import demand has declined significantly. A significant relief expected until 2014 in the 4th quarter with seasonal increase of consumption and supply reduction.

Russian pig prices have risen since the import lock for pork from the EU by 40%. There is a lack of significant amounts of raw material for the production of sausages. Dated May 5, 2014, producer prices are €3.22 / kg.

Brazilian pork prices remain regional differences on average €1.50 / kg.

Missing barbecue weather keeps prices at the same level

Hogs-Update,

UpDate from Mon 12.05 2014:

Result of ISN pork stock: average €1.69 / kg (unchanged), but 520 pigs and 15% was over

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

In the short term, the sales prospects domestically by the unfavourable development of the weather are inhibited. Small bright spots in the small import States third country business make mature the expectation that further sales increases are possible if the U.S. deliveries PEDv-related decline further during the summer months. The prospect of again approved Russian imports is not yet abandoned. Around the world the supply of pork will be 2014 somewhat weaker than was originally estimated.

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