19.
04.23
Prices unchanged

Schweine News, 04/19/2023

Bullish
  • Low battle numbers
  • Pre-registrations remain small
  • Cold store stocks low
Bearish
  • Restrained demand
  • insufficient exports

Germany: V price 2.33 €/kg (range 2.33 – 2.38 €/kg) The weekly slaughter figures are 649,447 pigs ( previous week 669,429 ) due to the public holiday, the slaughter weights are slightly higher at 97.3 kg With 248,000 pigs (previous week 239,100 ) , pre-registrations remain well below the average of previous years.At the ISN auction on Tuesday, April 18, 2023, an average price of €2.44/kg or -2 ct/kg compared to the pre-auction was achieved in a range of €2.43 to €2.45/kg. The V price has been retained at €2.33/kg for the period from April 20, 2023 to April 26, 2023 within a range of €2.33 to €2.38/kg; ASF : As of April 14, 2023, 5,265 ASF infected wild boars in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg have been officially confirmed. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark , prices in the 16th week of 2023 were increased to a comparable calculated €2.0/kg by +3 ct/kg. The Danish listing is thus approaching the level of other EU member states. In Belgium, the prices in the 16th week of 2023 have been retained unchanged at €2.21/kg .As a result of the live export of slaughter pigs, the supply is becoming scarcer. However, meat sales remain limited. In the Netherlands, the prices in the 16th week of 2023 have been increased by 1 ct/ kg with a comparable calculation of €2.22/ kg. In France/Brittany, the prices were set at €2.35/kg, which is 3 cents/kg lower . Slaughter figures remain at a low 306,063 pigs. Slaughter weights have increased to 96.56 kg. In Italy, the listings in the 16th week of 2023 have been increased by 1 ct/kg. Business picks up speed again after the holidays. In Spain, the prices in the 16th week of 2023 remained unchanged at a comparable €2.64/ kg. The high price level slows down sales opportunities. The PRRS epidemic causes high casualties. Pigs and piglets are brought in from abroad. In the USA/IOWA, prices have fallen to the equivalent of €1.37/kg .The battle numbers have increased again after the holidays. Cold store inventories are high. The higher quality cuts are in demand, processed goods are neglected. Stock exchange listings for the summer months no longer exceed €1.90/kg. Brazil: On average, producer prices have leveled off somewhat with weaker REAL to €1.58/kg . The price range between the regions has narrowed considerably. Export focus remains China/HK, South Korea and the Philippines. China: The prices stopped at the end of March 2023 at the equivalent of €2.71/kg . The demand for meat remains seasonally weak. Government stock purchases have been discontinued. Prices on the Dalian stock exchange of the equivalent of 3.18 €/kg will only be traded again for Sep.23. Despite increasing domestic production, imports are expected to increase again slightly. Conclusion: The restrained demand for meat compared to previous years is made up for by the persistently low supply of live meat. The low cold store stocks are for the upcoming BBQ seasontoo scarce to cover the usual additional demand in the barbecue season

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The holiday-related loss of slaughter days has once again significantly reduced the slaughter numbers in the week before and after Easter. Cold store inventories continue to fall. Only subdued demand, not least as a result of the cool weather, has kept prices stable. With a barbecue weather to be expected, demand should increase again. Then the supply situation becomes scarcer and the price range increases.

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