14.
06.23
V-Price constant, but price range widened upwards.

Schweine News, 06/14/2023

Bullish
  • low battle numbers
  • decreased pre-registrations
  • low cold store stocks
  • demand-boosting barbecue weather
  • predominantly rising prices in neighboring countries
Bearish
  • .

Germany: V price 2.43 €/kg (range 2.43 – 2.46 €/kg) The weekly slaughter figures are below average with 624,716 pigs ( previous week 641,337) , the slaughter weights are somewhat lower at 97.3 kg With 238,500 pigs (previous week 240,200), the pre-registrations remain at a comparatively low level. At the ISN auction on Tue, Jun 13In 2023, an average price of €2.58/kg or +2 ct/kg compared to the pre-auction was achieved in a range of €2.545 to €2.60/kg . The V price has been set at €2.43/kg for the period from June 15, 2023 to June 21, 2023 within a range of €2.43 to €2.46/kg. ASF : As of June 13, 2023, 5,403 ASF infected wild boars in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg have been officially confirmed. In Italy, the ASP situation is spreading to 5 locations. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark, the comparably calculated prices of €2.04/kg were repeatedly retained unchanged in the 24th week of 2023. In Belgium, the prices will be raised by 4 ct/kg in the 24th week of 2023 at €2.30/kg .The Belgian listing is thus further aligning itself with the results in the neighboring countries. In the Netherlands , the prices in the 24th week of 2023 have been increased by around 4 ct/ kg with a comparable calculation of €2.30/kg . In France/Brittany, the prices will be increased by +4 ct/kg to €2.198/ kg . The battle numbers rise again to 368,698; the slaughter weight is 96.3 kg. In Italy, the listings in the 24th week of 2023 have been increased by a further 3.5 ct/kg . After weeks of price cuts, the holiday season is causing demand to pick up. In Spain, the prices in the 24th week of 2023 remained unchanged at a comparable €2.64/ kg for the umpteenth time. The high price level slows down the opportunities at home and abroad. Slaughter pigs are z. T. introduced.In the USA/IOWA, prices have risen again to €1.91/kg . Battle numbers remain low due to temperature. The barbecue season ensures increasing demand. The stock exchange prices for Jul.-23 are listed at 1.85 €/kg, for Aug.-23 at 1.77 €/kg. Brazil: Average producer prices have fallen slightly to €1.42/kg . Low prices in the southern surplus regions are depressing prices in the high-price areas. After higher production and export figures in the first quarter of 2023, business weakened seasonally. China: Prices remain low at the end of May 2023 at the equivalent of €2.55/kg . The demand for meat is seasonally weak. On the Dalian Stock Exchange, Sep. 23 prices are traded at the equivalent of only 2.80 €/kg. A second measure of government stock purchases is intended to bring prices back to the profitability threshold.Conclusion: The scarce supply of live food in the EU internal market and the low cold store stocks in connection with the favorable barbecue weather open up further upward price leeway. Only Denmark and Spain are keeping prices constant due to their above-average dependence on exports.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The supply of pork is getting tighter with persistently low supply but grill-favored demand. In view of the high price level that has already been reached, price increases are only realistic in small steps. However, the relative scarcity ensures further price increases.

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