23.
08.23
V price held at €2.30/kg

Schweine News, 08/23/2023

Bullish
  • again lower battle numbers
  • low pre-registrations
  • increasing demand at the end of the holiday season
  • more favorable barbecue weather
Bearish
  • Reserved willingness to consume due to inflation

Germany: V price 2.30 €/ kg (range 2.30 – 2.30 €/kg)The weekly slaughter figures are significantly higher at 708,086 pigs ( previous week 716,120) , as are the slaughter weights at 98.5 kg . Pre-registrations are significantly lower at 227,800 pigs (previous week 266,300) . At the ISN auction on Tue. 22.08 2023 an average price of 2.30 €/kg . There was a 90% supernatant. The V price has been set at €2.30/kg for the period from August 24th, 2023 to August 30th, 2023 within a range of €2.30 - €2.30/kg. ASF : As of August 19, 2023, 5,522 ASF infected wild boars in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg have been officially confirmed. For the month of July-2023, 48 cases were reported. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark, the comparably calculated prices of €2.00/kg were reduced by 4 ct/kg in the 34th week of 2023. In Belgium, the prices in the 34th week of 2023 will be reduced by -9 ct/kg with a comparable calculation of €2.23/kg . In the Netherlands , prices were increased in the 34thKW 2023 with comparably calculated 2.18 €/kg taken back by -10 ct/kg. In France/Brittany, the prices have been reduced again by -7 ct/kg to €2.159/kg. Battle numbers have fallen to 295,622 due to the holiday; Slaughter weights are 95.4 kg In Italy , the listings in the 34th week of 2023 have remained at the high level . The offer is currently covering demand. The holiday season has passed its peak. In Spain, the prices will be reduced in the 34th week of 2023 with a comparable €2.55/ kg for the second time by -4 ct/kg. Limited sales opportunities at home and abroad are the two decisive factors. In the USA/IOWA, producer prices have fallen to €1.88/kg. The battle numbers remain at an elevated level. Partial prices have mostly fallen. Demand is dropping. For Oct.-23 the stock market prices are only listed at 1.60 €/kg.Brazil: Average producer prices have stabilized again at €1.52/kg . Demand eases off in the second half of the month. The live supply remains seasonally limited. Pork exporters have gained new markets, but business with China is slowing. China: Prices jumped to €2.90/kg. The state supports the market with massive stock purchases. Only for the consumption-intensive month of Jan 2024 is it again expected to be €2.93/kg. The price problem is mainly due to the weak income. Conclusion: Meat sales have become more lively again with the end of the holiday season and the friendly barbecue weather. Neck and fillets are sometimes even tight. The range of live pigs for slaughter and advance registrations remain limited. The price reductions in the neighboring countries left little impression in Germany.  

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

A combination of a reduced supply of livestock and a demand that picked up after the holiday season stopped a further fall in prices. Support comes from the favorable barbecue weather. There is hope that prices will develop stably at this level.

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