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2015 slightly higher estimated U.S. pork production

USDA estimate of U.S. pork production for 2015

The U.S. pork production has been stagnant for two years. The key reason is the PEDv plague, a deadly diarrhoea disease in piglets.  The epidemic began in the spring of 2013 and spread throughout the winter and summer of the year 2014 to the country as a whole. An estimated 15% piglet losses had to be coped with in the peak of the disease turn in Feb/March 2014. From 5 to 8 kg of higher Mastendgewichten was controlled against, so that for 2014 a decrease of only 4-5% remains.

Domestic consumption and exports had to be easily returned. Prices however unusual heights reached up to €2 per kg in the biggest deficit month Aug. 2014.

The disease is always still not banned, but the weekly newly reported cases have fallen to less than one-third compared to the peak. The test is still in the cold season, when the hygiene and disinfection measures lose effectiveness.

A lesser extent, of the disease turn is assumed for the year 2015. Higher vigilance, a higher degree of bend forward and first vaccine with a limited effect should keep the extent of the damage within limits.  The production will be 10.7 million tons and 3.6%, respectively higher estimated and thus easily exceed the prior-year level. The domestic consumption to 1.8 per cent put on and the exports are 5.7% increase.

The USDA estimates average pork price level of $ €1.60 / kg SGfor the year 2015.  Measured the projected price in the upper mid-range's recent multi-year averages. The high price level is supported by the high beef prices, moving above the mark of €5 per kg.

 Despite the rise in consumer prices is only slightly decreased meat consumption. Even a rising poultry meat production and consumption has can change it just a little.

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