China's pork production also 2016 still declining - import demand 2017 remains high Contrary to many forecasts that the Chinese pork production will recover after the setback in the preceding years in the year 2016, is now to determine that the production with estimated 52 million tonnes is around 9% below the previous year's results. Despite all efforts of the Government in the framework of the 5 of year plan until 2020 is to bring the production to a level of demand-covering 67 million tonnes, to determine the investment in new production facilities are less turned out as the task of the existing facilities. The reduction of the existing pig attitudes concerns mainly the small and medium-sized family farms, which are always a source of danger for the outbreaks and little efficient economies. The PEDv-has been in the year 2016 epidemic cause of mass extinction of piglets often. The new production capacities to are built on the industry-like scale, work more efficiently, comply with a higher standard of quality and above all meet the high environmental standards especially in the manure. Old equipment in population-intensive regions are shut down or evacuated. So happen with focus around the capital Beijing. Looking for new production facilities in less heavily populated regions. Given of the scarce land facilities in China it is difficult however to find appropriate locations. Pork prices in China were 2016 quite different. In spring, were selling prices equivalent of €3.13 / kg, were the demand intense summertime to 3.70 to €3.80 / kg , and have fallen behind in the autumn months because of the high and reasonably priced import offerings back to €3.13 / kg . Chinese pork prices below the 3 €/ kg line are hardly below cost for Chinese relations of production: feed prices about 22 €/ dt, soybean meal at 48 €/ dt, feed conversion between 3.5 to 4 and above, daily weight gains under 500 g, loss rates of 5% or more, pig numbers from 12 to 18 per sow and year. In addition to the declining backyard attitudes arise modern companies that operate in a network by raising about feed deployment, slaughter, processing and marketing. Yet are always 45% of animals in units per year produces up to 500 pigs in family businesses. The simultaneous restructuring of Chinese pig production and marketing, as well as the difficult implementation of environmental regulations in a densely populated country is considerably more take time as otherwise usual cyclical rebuilding of stocks in a present production frame. Consumption page up to 67 million tonnes is estimated with further growth in the year 2020. The current target size is 55 million tonnes of Chinese own generation. This opens up a potential of unimaginable 12 million tonnes of pork imported each year. At least for the year 2017 we will assume that the Chinese pork imports will further play the important role on the world market.
