Cattle count: 2% fewer sows in the EU - different results in the countries
Allow a reduction of the sows-, in the autumn 2015 identified cattle census results and pig numbers in the EU expect. 223.000 or 2% fewer sows were detected in the average of 23 recorded Member States with more than 83% of the herds. The decline in young sows stocks - 7.9% is particularly striking, as a sign of more stock down interruptions.
The results however differ in the various Member States.
Germany counted 82,000 or -4% of sows. The stocks to 53,000 animals or - 4.8% were reduced in the Netherlands. However, Denmark % has reduced his sows stock only around 8,000 or - 0.6.
142.000 were from Poland or -14.9% fewer females reported. The the stagnation in Slovakia (- 19.7%), Estonia (- 23.5%) and Luxembourg (- 16.7%) are proportionally similar, but in absolute terms, the changes in these countries not particularly in the weight fall.
However, the increases in Spain with 108,000 + 4.6% are sows of crucial importance.
In calculating the impact on the number of piglets and therefore on the later battle figures, is to assume lower benefits of piglets per sow and year of discontinuing sows stocks. The effect of the average productivity is, however, expected.
For the EU as a whole , a net effect of reduced pig numbers in the range of 2.8 million piglets is expected. Based on the number of battle where the result is a reduction of just over 1% of pig slaughter based on year-round.
In Germany , approximately 1.5 million fewer pigs will be expected. And in the Netherlands there are 1 million rd fewer young animals. The Danish pig production will change only slightly. In Poland, approximately 4 million piglets imports are missing in addition to the already existing more 2.4 million young animals for fattening.
In Spain , it is assumed that 2.75 million piglets will happen. This means more battle numbers relative to a year rd 6.3%.
The changes will be effective due to the production period of the pregnancy up to the finished pig only in the 2nd half of the year 2016 .
For the 1st half of the year 2016 are expected due to the livestock census results first higher slaughter numbers ranging from 1.2 to 1% respectively compared to the previous year.
You will have to wait for an easing of the market situation yet, especially as the PLH outsourcing is yet to cope with.
