EU-com: Short term prognosis on the EU pigmeat market for 2017 In its fall issue of short time forecasts for key agricultural markets, the European Commission (EU com) estimates a slightly declining pigmeat production 2017 from - 0.3% to the current year 2016. The amount of production in the internal market will reach 23.5 million tonnes. The imports of pork fall to 13,000 tons. Total production, the share of imports with 0.05% is meaningless. The export quantities 2017 should no longer the high volume of the year 2016 with estimated 2.71 million can hold, but fall back to 2.58 million tonnes . The slight reduction of China's monthly exports to observed now is critical to this assessment. In the year 2016 booming exports to China will not be permanent. To what extent it is possible to compensate in other markets, is questionable given the low-price competition from North America . The domestic consumption was still in the year 2015 at 21.2 million tonnes and is to fall back in this year of 2016 to 20.91 million tons. Offsets the EU-com with a significant increase for the coming year t 20,97 million. Return the per capita consumption of pork to 31.9 kg of 32.4 kg. This is the pork percentage of total meat consumption of nearly 48.8% to 47.7%. The self-sufficiency of the EU is to decline by 113% to 112% in the year 2017. Continued decreasing sows stocks indicate that a pig farming foreseeable increase is not expected. The current price declines and the limited sales prospects offer little incentive for more production despite reduction in feed prices.
