23.
05.15
09:35

EU preliminary estimates to the battle figures and pork prices in 2015

EU-Commission working group corrected hog slaughter numbers - price forecasts remain

The actual slaughter numbers were significantly higher than assumed in previous estimates in the first 5 months. The competent working group of the EU Commission has to raise the figures for the 1st quarter year 2015 from 0.3% to + 2.4% . Also the forecast for the second quarter of the year 2015 with unchanged estimated numbers of battle has been corrected in the face of the so far accumulated amounts of unchanged. to + 1.8% .

For the still outstanding quarters by 2015 will in the period from July till including September now - 0.4% are compared less pigs on the hook. For the last quarter, the decline should - 0.1% amount. Declining percentages, however, are critical to question against the background of high increases in the second half of the year 2014. Actually, the pig figures will remain high.

For the entire year of 2015, the EU working group now estimates a increase in pig slaughter of + 0.9% instead of previously adopted + 0.5%. The majority of the increase was forced to lie almost behind us, provided the new figures are more reliable than the previous results.

The development of EU pig prices - measured to increase seasonal at the grade of E - during the coming summer period to 1.53-1.55 €/ kg . In the last quarter of the year, again expect prices to the/1.45 € / kg.

In contrast, one is in the United States for the summer 2015 optimistic prices. Despite a 6% increase in the U.S. pork production, equivalent of €1.65 / kg are expected on the US stock exchanges. Background, however, is the specific location on the American meat market. Beef is in short supply and have to import expensive beef prices record over the €5 per kg mark.

In recent times spread out an Bird flu epidemic in the turkeys and laying hens in 175 US companies already 39 million animals have been killed. There are fears in the autumn when migratory birds from the North to the South. In the American Southeast room has the hitherto largely spared chicken fattening their regional focal points.  

For the winter months 2015/16 go US punters pig prices to €1.35 / kg from.

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