Pig economy: after the high 2013/14 now, the deep fall of 2014/15

US pig - by the "century year 13/14" in the deep basement of 2014/15 Ups and downs of the economy in the pig are close. The US pig farmers have brought just a trip with business losses up to €35 per hog behind it. However, the prospects for the rest of the year on falling price Outlook is not much better look.

Unlike the 2014/15 marketing year has seen however.  Throughout the year you wrote only in the black. The peak was reached in March 2014 entrepreneurs profit of about €50 per pig.

Background for this "century year" was the PEDv epidemic (fatal diarrhea disease in piglets =), which has cost about 15% of the pig population. The disease reached the peak in the cold months from Jan to March one year. Pig and piglet prices shot up into the air. Pork prices in the United States for the first time exceeded the limit of €2 / kg. A 22.5 kg usual US piglets cost just over €100 per animal.

 Subdued and later falling feed costs, higher pork prices were still for a unusual high profits.

The unusually high profitability 2013/14 caused higher-than-usual battle weights to compensate for part of the missing battle numbers first to 5 to 7 kg.  The number of sows were increased by about 5%. In the critical months from Jan to March 2015, the PEDv epidemic reached but only one-third of the scale of the previous year.

The result was an oversupply of pigs and pig meat, so prices were converted under the brand of €1.50 / kg. Red numbers were written in the pig since autumn last year persistently high feed and pig costs. The valley floor loss per pig was reached with €35 in the months February to April 2015. The onset may BBQ season providing relief without however to enter the field of black numbers.

The leaking BBQ season leads to further declining pork prices in recent times. Feed costs have remained so far on an average level. The prospects for the autumn and winter months look like little promising according to the exchange rate.

The increasingly intensifying dollar exchange rate reduces the competitiveness of the United States in the export business. It issued about 20% of production abroad.

So far, unusually high U.S. beef prices supported the pork equivalent of €5 per kg. Extent to which the epidemic of bird flu virus with almost 50 million killed laying hens and turkeys a relief remains unclear. On the one hand, the meat is missing, on the other hand, many importers have rejected U.S. poultry meat.

The EU now world's largest exporter of pork is in direct competition to the urgent U.S. exports. The advantage of the EU is in the weak euro exchange rate, but the markets are full. And Russia is foreseeable as the importing country.

Also for the the prospects for the coming period are not beneficial EU.

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