Two deadly pig disease - will the EU be spared?

Stubborn AFP in Russia and adjacent areas - PEDv in North America

Worldwide, the pigmeat market is held by 2 major diseases in breath. The enough from Russia to the EU into African swine fever and the deadly diarrhea virus in piglets in North America. the EU stands in danger of being affected by both disease...

The African swine fever has established itself since the year 2007 in Russia in the wild boar and spilling over into pigs in the backyard attitudes and occasionally large positions again and again. the former frequency of infestation in the southern districts of several 100 km has shifted north. It is believed that there is a correlation between troop relocation and the new infected area.

The infected area on the Russian side extends to the Polish Baltic borders West of Moscow. There are no messages from Belarus to the international animal health organization headquartered in Germany. However, is you must assume due to the location, that infection must have occurred in Belarus.

Since the end of Jan 2014 are AFP finds in feral pigs on the Polish-Russian and the Baltic Russian border on the EU side repeatedly has been established. Obviously, there is a close connection with the wild boar change in this border region. The cases were used as an opportunity to block the EU pork import to Russia. Significant price distortions in the EU and in Russia are the consequence with far-reaching effects on the international pork trade.

In the largest export in the world the United States a diarrhea virus of Chinese origin made wide for over a year with seuchenhafter effect. In piglets, the disease ends fatally with inadequate immune protection. Estimates assume a default rate up to 15%. The health train reaches its peak during the cold winter months until March 2015 Jan. The most recent numbers are staggeringly high but still with almost 100 new cases in a week in July. A desired blade to values less than 50 cases per week – as in the initial phase - is impossible to predict.

With a 6-month delay affects the disease with missing slaughter pigs. The battle weight by 5 kg were increased to compensate for part, but the latest figures show that already lighter animals be used again due to the missing quantities of meat.

Pork prices in the United States have risen for the months July 2014 in the September on record highs. in the remaining months, prices should stabilize again. Extent to which a normal level is achieved, remains open for the time being. The question is critical after the winter time, when the hygiene measures have only limited effect. Is to be reckoned back with a renewed increase in the infection?

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