United States: increasing herds, increasing slaughter weights, lowest hog prices The quarterly U.S. swine numbering at 1 September 2016 has usual rising expectations Livestock in the autumn exceeded. With approximately 71 million pigs was a record level reached 4% higher than the figures of the previous stock inventory in the July 2016 is located. The number of pigs, which also reach the slaughter in the coming months, rising to 350,000 to 450,000 units. Add usually come rising slaughter weights, because in the "colder" season the feed intake of the animals bigger. The average slaughter weight increase of 207 pounds or 93.8 kg during the warm summer months 213 pounds or 96.6 kg in the autumn/winter period. The combination of rising volumes and increasing slaughter weights per piece leads to a volume of pork in the next few months by the end of the year is to rise by nearly 8%. Is by the latest livestock survey reinforcedthe existing since months guess of rising pork offerings to the end of the year. For the other types of meat, poultry and beef are expected also high amounts. Domestic sales consumption regularly decreases after the BBQ season. The hopes of rising export volumes have so far not fulfilled. The export figures move up in recent times in the average range of in recent years. That the future-oriented U.S.stock prices for pork with hefty cuts for the upcoming dates responded. Since the month of August, the quotes of less than €1.65 / kg to below €1 / kg fallen constantly in recent times. The current results of the determination of the number of pigs now have price depressed for the dates of Dec to €0.86 / kg. Even the Oct. 16 courses have slipped below €1 / kg mark. The latest price development reminiscent of the similar circumstances in 1998. At that time the prices fallen average June rates under 50%. Still, chances are this development to avoid repetition. Low pork prices should provide a strong signal for lower slaughter weights, because high Mastendgewichte at bad as feed efficiency be uneconomical. Despite the fallen US cost prices have succeeded until now not on a large scale, the U.S. to boostexport volume . A fixed dollar exchange rate, licensing restrictions because use of growth promoters and high stretch values are existing constraints. Only when contracts on a larger scale complete with customized part unit price can be expected with corresponding increases in export. Also, the appropriate logistics and financing settlement must be rebuilt.
