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- Limited supply of pigs ready for slaughter with stable demand
- Lively piglet market with scarce availability and rising demand
- Seasonal impetus from the upcoming Easter business
- Difficult to pass on higher prices in meat sales
- Pressure on slaughterhouse margins is increasing
- Dependence on seasonal impulses increases market risk
- Sharp rise in crude oil prices and strong vegetable oil markets
- Delayed soybean harvest in Brazil slows things down in the short term
- Hope for additional demand from China
- US export figures remain below the previous year's level
- Fluctuating energy markets
- High crude oil prices and strong ethanol production
- Uncertainty in fertilizer supply
- Robust export demand and international tenders
- High global corn stocks
- Increases in forecasts for production and inventories
- Weak US wheat export bookings
- Product prices turn upwards. .
- The commodity value in Germany has started a floor test
- The futures market is more stable than the spot market.
- At the same time, the most recent GDT auction was also clearly positive
- Germany remains volume-driven.
- The German spot market is extremely weak.
- Producer prices continue to lag behind.
- In NRW, the level for table potatoes remains comparatively stable at €16.00 per tonne
- Quality goods remain the decisive marketing criterion
- Price differentiation can increase further with a smaller selection of high-quality lots
- Stock levels remain high and market supply is still ample
- The processing market remains weak
- The price reference framework in the industrial sector signals sustained pressure.
- Scarce piglet market with lively buying interest
- Rapid marketing of animals ready for slaughter
- Seasonal demand stimuli in the meat trade
- Limited scope in the meat trade
- Resistance from slaughterhouses to higher prices
- Uncertain cost trends for energy and feed
- Rising crude oil prices as a result of the conflict in the Middle East
- Partial suspension of Chinese tariffs on Canadian agricultural imports
- Slightly smaller than expected canola acreage in Canada
- Very large soybean harvest expected in Brazil
- Improved soybean stocks in Argentina
- Weak US export bookings for soybeans
- Escalation in the Iran conflict and rising crude oil prices
- Very strong US maize export bookings at the end of the week
- Persistent drought in parts of the western US plains
- High global corn stocks
- Improvement in maize stocks in Argentina due to recent rainfall
- Weak US wheat export bookings
- Good storage quality of many batches
- Quality goods still highly marketable
- Stable demand in direct marketing and gastronomy
- High stocks from the 2025 harvest
- Weak industrial goods segment
- Limited export demand
- Seasonally quiet demand in food retail
- Stabilization of SMP prices
- Commodity value shows first signs of bottoming out
- Export markets remain fundamentally active
- Futures signal stable expectations
- High milk supply in Germany and the EU
- Weak butter segment
- Margin pressure in processing
- Price war in the retail sector
- Short supply of pigs ready for slaughter in several regions
- Very lively demand on the piglet market with limited supply at the same time
- Seasonal demand stimuli in the meat trade
- Slaughterhouses report difficulties in passing on
- Subdued sales in the sow meat sector
- Difficulties implementing the higher prices in meat sales
- Extensive international wheat and maize tenders
- High US ethanol production
- Disappointing US export bookings for wheat and corn
- Improved weather forecasts in the US plains
- Strong euro
- China's willingness to talk and rumors about possible large purchases
- Robust canola processing in Canada
- Weak US export figures and low seasonal value
- Price advantage of Brazilian goods over US offers
- Uncertainty over US biofuel mandates and political tensions
- Stabilization with SMP/WMP
- Declining downward momentum
- First positive international impetus
- Spot market appears to be stabilizing at a low level
- Price level still below previous year
- Global supply surplus
- Structurally weak fat segment
- Commodity value remains very low
- Quality goods still easy to place
- Potential seasonal upturn in demand in spring
- Stable direct sales in sub-regions
- Above-average stock levels
- Weak industrial demand (low EPPI)
- Lack of export impetus
- Seasonally quiet LEH sales
- Declining live supply with rapid marketing
- Falling carcass weights as an indicator of supply relief
- Very lively demand on the piglet market with further mark-ups
- Seasonally still quiet meat market without strong impetus
- Strong euro
- Burdened third-country exports due to trade restrictions
- Higher Nopa processing than expected
- Strong US export shipments above previous year
- Significant increase in soybean oil stocks
- Expected expansion of US soybean area
- Higher global soybean stocks according to IGC
- Strong US wheat exports: Values above previous year
- Slightly lower US acreage forecasts for wheat and corn
- Decline in global wheat stocks according to IGC
- Higher Russian harvest forecasts
- High global corn stocks
- Weaker weekly US corn exports
- Possible bottoming out of butter and powder
- First indications that demand is picking up again,
- The previously strong negative price momentum has slowed considerably.
- Rising costs, structural adjustments and regional production declines could lead to a slowdown in supply growth over the course of the year
- Despite stabilization, central product prices are well below the levels of 2024/25.
- The above-average production volume continues to dampen prices
- The raw material value derived from butter and powder prices remains at a comparatively low level
- There is still a supply surplus on the global market,
- Stabilization of individual price ranges at a low level (sideways instead of falling further).
- Selective demand from communal catering can provide some short-term relief.
- Persistent oversupply / high inventories, demand seasonally quiet.
- Quality selection increases marketing pressure (sorting increases).
- Very weak benchmark price level (e.g. € 3.10/100 kg on 18.02.).
- Increasingly balanced ratio of slaughter pigs
- Declining slaughter weights
- Revival in the piglet market with rising demand at home and abroad
- High freezer stocks and subdued domestic sales
- ASP situation remains tense with latent export risk
- Raised Brazilian harvest estimate
- Deteriorating quality rating in Argentina
- Firm development for soybean meal
- US exports significantly below previous year's level
- Slight increase in global soy stocks according to WASDE
- Weak trend for palm oil
- US export sales above market expectations
- Weather risks for winter wheat in Russia
- Lower global maize and wheat stocks in WASDE
- Higher French wheat stocks
- Reduced EU export forecasts
- Only moderate WASDE adjustments overall
- Short-term price rally for butter and SMP in Europe.
- Stronger than expected GDT results improve milk price forecasts.
- First signs of cautious stabilization in the EU milk market.
- Long-term EU forecasts expect milk prices to trend higher
- Global milk surplus continues to depress prices
- Producer prices have been falling for months and are well below the fall level
- EU price level below previous year for key products
- Industry commentators do not believe that the producer price has bottomed out yet
- Low product prices stimulate demand slightly.
- Short-term price stabilization possible after a sharp drop in prices.
- Massive oversupply in Europe.
- Very low commodity and contract levels.
- Weak free demand and high inventories.
- Expected seasonal upturn in demand in spring
- Normalization on the sow market
- Stimulated piglet market with rising demand and higher prices
- Ongoing competitive pressure due to extensive Spanish goods
- High previous year's slaughter figures and sufficient meat supply overall
- Price pressure on various cuts
- Speculation about higher Chinese import targets for US soybeans
- Support through fixed energy prices
- Positive impetus for canola from US biofuel policy
- Weak US soybean exports week-on-week
- Declining EU imports of soybeans
- Ongoing uncertainty about the actual implementation of political announcements
- Deterioration of corn stocks in Argentina
- Strong seasonal corn processing in the USA
- Logistical restrictions in Europe support Euronext
- Weak short-term US wheat exports
- Abundant global wheat supply
- Lack of sustainable demand stimuli
- Stable storage quality, possible seasonal upturn in demand in winter.
- High inventories, weak industrial demand, limited exports.
- Significant GDT price increase across several product groups.
- SMP/WMP stable to firm → Demand for protein products sustainable.
- Declining butter prices could stimulate consumption.
- Butter prices still well below previous year.
- Kiel commodity value historically low → weak revenue base.
- High milk volumes limit price recovery potential.
- EU price level overall still below previous market phases.
- Declining carcass weights signal decreasing supply pressure
- Increasingly smooth sales of ready-to-slaughter pigs
- Revival in demand on the piglet market and rising piglet prices
- Quiet demand for pork due to seasonal factors
- Overall supply situation in the meat market remains high
- Building up frozen stocks with limited sales opportunities
- Deterioration of soybean stocks in Argentina due to drought and heat
- Fixed crude oil prices (also potential Iran conflict)
- Speculation about new soy and canola purchases by China
- Slight increase in the Brazilian soybean harvest forecast
- November export data from the USA significantly below the previous year's level in some cases
- Canola farmers in Canada increasingly willing to sell
- Record wheat and corn bookings from the USA
- Frost worries in US winter wheat regions despite snow cover
- Weather concerns in Argentina
- Firm euro weighs on export prospects in the EU
- Increase in the Brazilian maize harvest forecast
- Export figures from Russia on the rise
- Seasonal demand effects and food retail promotions can provide selective impetus.
- Good quality batches remain marketable.
- Persistent excess supply in the domestic and EU market.
- No significant export pressure or outbreak of demand.
- EPPI/industrial goods prices stagnate at a low level.
- Prices at one of the last auctions were above the previous week's level - a sign of global demand impetus.
- SMP in particular shows slight price increases - demand for powder remains relatively robust.
- Cheddar prices have not fallen sharply - price stability in certain segments indicates differentiated market reactions.
- The spot butter price fell to a three-year low of ~ € 3,835/t.
- Spot prices and dairy payout under strong pressure (partly < 40 ct/kg).
- High milk production in the EU → Surplus supply weighs on prices across broad product segments.
- Production costs remain a burden according to the Milk Marker Index - structural price weakness
- EU butter prices on a crippling downward trend, currently lower than in many previous years.
- Decline in carcass weights indicates a progressive reduction in supply
- Slight upturn in demand for piglets
- Continued high supply of pigs for slaughter with regional marketing problems
- Exports hampered by animal disease situation and trade barriers
- Euro stronger again
- China's record imports of soybeans
- Significant tariff reductions on Canadian canola from March
- Rally for soybean oil
- Anec lowers export forecast
- Unclear export prospects for the USA to China
- Lack of follow-up purchases at Canola despite trade deal
- Frost worries revive wheat market
- Extensive wheat purchases by Saudi Arabia
- Robust US corn export reports
- Record-high inventories worldwide put pressure on share prices
- Increase in maize cultivation area in Argentina
- No breakthrough on US biofuels law
- Butter, SMP and WMP show minimal price gains in a weekly comparison - first delicate countermovement after longer downward phases.
- GDT index rose by around 1.5%, indicating renewed global interest in dairy products.
- SMP and WMP slightly up on the EU average - a small but relevant sign of the start of demand.
- Reports continue to see demand for processed products, especially powders, albeit at a moderate level.
- Germany reports significantly higher milk deliveries (+5.9%), which continues to put pressure on supply.
- Raw material value of 30.8 ct/kg is historically low - significant downward pressure on farm-gate prices.
- MMI data shows that production costs are often higher than payout prices - structural risk.
- High milk volumes across the EU beyond 2025 and in calendar week 1/2026 indicate structural supply surpluses.
- Despite small weekly gains, average prices (butter, SMP, WMP) are significantly lower than in previous years.
- Direct marketing and farm-gate prices can create regional bases - for example for high-quality goods or small customers.
- Winter consumption and seasonal demand can provide selective demand stimuli.
- Oversupply continues to drive down prices.
- Low industrial demand and stagnating forward prices.
- Export activity remains manageable as many markets are well supplied.
- Surpluses on the live market continue to decrease
- Slaughter lines are largely running at full capacity
- Integration into the ITW system is progressing
- Meat market remains characterized by supply pressure
- Exports hampered by animal disease situation and trade barriers
- Cuts difficult to market, especially ham
- First GDT tender 2026 showed a price increase of ~6.3 % compared to December 2025.
- In some segments (e.g. SMP), there is demand momentum that is slightly supporting prices against the trend.
- Irish dairy exports rose sharply in 2025 (+14%) - a positive signal for EU export routes.
- Cross-national trend analyses point to growing demand for functional and high-quality dairy products.
- Low butter prices globally, strong production and high stock levels are putting pressure regionally.
- Milk production costs are higher than farm-gate prices, which creates structural burdens.
- High global milk production meets weak demand, price pressure continues.
- Low spot prices for butter and cheddar - and downward pressure on SMP/WMP quotas.
- Farmers protest against drastically falling milk prices (~34 ct/L), well below production costs.
- Above-average supply keeps price pressure high.
- EU farm-gate price in November/December below previous year and still falling.
- Seasonal demand effects in January/February can provide selective demand stimuli.
- Good quality of many batches allows differentiated marketing.
- High stock levels and oversupply in Germany and Europe.
- Weak industrial demand; EPPI/industrial goods prices at approx. 6.50 €/100 kg.
- Export markets underutilized, competition from regional supply.
- Strong US soybean exports and high NOPA crush figures
- Weather-related setbacks in the Argentinian soybean harvest
- Speculation about progress in the Canadian-Chinese trade conflict
- Unexpected increase in US soybean production and inventories by the USDA
- Record harvest forecasts in Brazil with favorable weather conditions
- Weaker Chinese import figures in December
- Persistent drought in the southern US plains and parts of Argentina
- Large international tender for wheat by Saudi Arabia
- New highs in US ethanol production support corn demand
- Unexpectedly strong expansion of US corn acreage and harvest estimate
- Increased global wheat production according to the USDA, particularly in Russia and Argentina
- Weak US wheat export bookings in the reporting week
- Slight increase in exports within the EU
- Reduced live imports from third countries support the domestic market
- Political initiatives to reopen export markets in preparation
- Persistent surpluses of slaughter pigs and sows
- Significant fall in piglet prices
- Pressure on unit prices and high stock levels
- Functional and high-quality dairy products have growth potential, which can support margins
- Better data enables more targeted decisions for market participants; information advantage can support strategic decisions
- Cheese is often more stable in price than powdered milk components, which could help with demand recovery (USDA forecast)
- Despite falling herd numbers, the long-term trend is towards higher milk components per cow.
- Payout prices squeeze farmers' margins, sometimes below 40 ct/kg - a significant headwind
- Oversupply of milk overall, especially butter, SMP & WMP, reduces prices on international markets.
- Production is not falling fast enough, while exports are declining - demand-supply imbalance persists.
- Provisional tariffs on EU dairy products could further restrict sales markets.
- Market analysts see further price support risks, especially for butter/price volatility.
- High-quality stock allows targeted marketing.
- Seasonal consumer incentives through winter dishes could slightly stimulate demand
- Supply clearly exceeds demand.
- Industrial goods hardly in demand, free quantities difficult to sell.
- Low export impetus from abroad.
- Major Chinese orders for US soy provide positive sentiment
- Speculation of an agreement in the Canadian-Chinese trade conflict
- USDA reports stable export demand
- Decline in US manufacturing in November
- Profit-taking after rally a burden
- Strong euro
- Persistent drought in parts of the US plains affects winter wheat
- Increasing weather risks in Argentinian maize regions
- Record-high US exports in October underpin demand
- Very high global stocks and robust harvest forecasts
- Weak weekly export sales at the USDA
- Expected precipitation in US dry regions could ease the situation
- Declining pig supply in the EU opens up medium-term relief potential
- Easing of ASF cases in Germany
- Slight reduction in Chinese punitive tariffs creates export prospects
- Holiday-related surpluses weigh heavily on the live market
- Weak demand on the EU meat market due to seasonal effects and competitive pressure
- ASF outbreak in Spain exacerbates export problems and directs cheap goods to the domestic market
- Frozen potato products: Stable to rising import/export prices at a high level can alleviate margin pressure for certain segments.
- Early potato availability: Seasonal variety and early availability could stimulate local demand.
- Overproduction & oversupply: High harvests in 2025 and large stocks depress processing and farmgate prices.
- Subdued domestic and industrial demand: Prices and demand in the table potato segment remain weak, putting pressure on wholesale and production.
- Exports to China continue
- Fixed crude oil prices
- Speculative purchases of canola
- Below-average US exports
- Continued weak volume towards China
- Low activity at the turn of the year
- Solid sales figures
- Geopolitical tensions
- Higher forecasts for Russia and Argentina
- Decline in ethanol production
- More stable expectations in the European environment after international trade flows calm down
- Noticeable drop in carcass weights relieves pressure on the market
- China's tariff reduction improves export prospects for the EU in the medium term
- Ample supply situation in the coming weeks
- Growing livestock increases supply pressure
- Strong euro
- Segments such as whey and special dairy products remain relatively stable or robust despite price pressure in the fat segment.
- Parts of the industry (e.g. cheese and dairy exporters) see market opportunities in South American markets - possible export diversification is being discussed.
- At the end of the year, demand for cheese & milk fat products typically increases (baking/festival days), which can have a short-term supportive effect.
- EU average prices fall (butter ~461 €/100 kg, SMP ~202 €/100 kg).
- Farmers protest against butter/milk price dumping, pointing to social tensions and structural price problems.
- High supply volumes without a corresponding shortage of demand depress prices.
- Discounters are forcing price cuts that depress wholesale prices and producer prices.
- Controversies surrounding EU-Mercosur, possible imports of cheaper agricultural products - risk for competition and local prices.
- Christmas and seasonal sales boost sales in certain areas.
- Good quality of the stored goods enables differentiated marketing.
- Oversupply due to record harvests and wide availability of varieties in Europe.
- Weak industrial demand and stable to falling wholesale prices.
- Unspectacular export market; hardly any impetus from abroad.
- Repeated export purchases by China, albeit with limited volume
- Oversold in canola could trigger technical countermovement
- Weather-related risks in South American cultivation regions remain fundamental
- Missed export targets in the USA and disappointing booking figures
- Record expectations for Brazil's soybean harvest
- Ongoing export problems for canola due to the trade conflict with China
- Record high ethanol production in the USA with falling stocks at the same time
- Competitive US fob prices in the export business for US goods
- Above-average harvest prospects in Argentina and Australia
- High global inventories and weak export momentum for wheat
- Speculation about peace negotiations in the Ukraine war
- Seasonal peak phase in meat processing and food retail leads to strong demand
- Decline in carcass weights signals faster marketing
- China's tariff reduction improves export prospects for the EU in the medium term
- Additional competitive pressure due to Spanish export volumes as a result of ASP
- Uncertainty about demand trends after Christmas and at the turn of the year
- Strong euro