Mike060375
Mitglied seit 11 Jahre 4 Monate
Daimler Kursverlauf am 15.09.: 5 % Kursverlust in einer Minute ?
Guten Tag,
ich hätte da mal eine technische Frage zum Kursverlauf der Daimleraktie am vergangenen Freitag.
Für mich ist es nicht nachzuvollziehen, dass nach der Veröffentlichung der schlechten Aussichten bei Chrysler der Kurs innerhalb einer Sekunde um fast 5 % abgeschmiert ist.
Ich stelle mir aufgrund dieser Entwicklung die Frage, wie so etwas in einer Schnelligkeit von professionellen Tradern genutzt werden kann bzw. ob hier wirklich alles mit rechten Dingen zuggangen ist.
Vielen Dank für Ihre Meinungen.
Geschrieben von Mike060375
am
@ Mike060375 [#1]
Warum denn nicht? Der Verlust bei Chrysler hat sich als mehr als doppelt so hoch herausgestellt. Das läßt die Restrukturierung des Nordamerikageschäfts in einem ganz anderen Licht erscheinen. Wahrscheinlich war ein so hoher Verlust auch überhaupt nicht erwartet worden, vielleicht noch nicht mal von institutioneller Seite. Kogisch daß die Stücke dann kurzzeitig auf den Markt geworfen werden. Es war sicher eine kleine Überreaktion, denn immerhin ist der nun erwartete op. Gewinn von 5 statt 6 Milliarden auch nicht sooo viel schlechter. Ich halte auch DCX und war aber auch etwas von der Gewinnrevision überrascht, obwohl ich nach dem permanent schlechten Newsflow von Chrysler schon Skepsis hatte. Wahrscheinlich hatten aber einige skeptische Leute jede Menge Stops im Markt, deswegen der Selloff. Nicht wundern, das war nix so Außergewöhnliches, da gabs schon schlimmere Selloffs bei weniger schlechten Nachrichten;-)).
Gruß
Scorpion
@ Mike060375 [#1]
kannst du bitte die Sekunde sagen, wo der Kurs sich 5% bewegt haben soll ?!
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14:38:57 Fr 39.50 7633
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14:39:01 Fr 39.50 605
14:39:01 Fr 39.46 2534
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14:39:01 Fr 39.45 79
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14:39:01 Fr 39.50 1909
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14:39:02 Fr 39.41 95
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14:39:09 Fr 39.37 11032
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14:39:10 Fr 39.36 6190
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14:39:16 Fr 39.35 6084
14:39:17 Fr 39.31 310
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14:39:24 Fr 39.25 797
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14:39:29 Fr 39.16 2916
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14:39:29 Fr 39.21 2642
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14:39:31 Fr 39.25 3867
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14:39:31 Fr 39.17 2098
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14:39:36 Fr 39.28 6759
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14:39:37 Fr 39.20 29
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14:39:38 Fr 39.16 2583
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14:39:47 Fr 39.01 69
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14:39:47 Fr 39.00 2626
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14:39:49 Fr 39.01 16085
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14:39:49 Fr 39.00 29185
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14:39:50 Fr 38.95 279
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14:39:51 Fr 39.00 5200
14:39:51 Fr 38.96 1800
14:39:51 Fr 38.95 3141
14:39:51 Fr 38.93 59
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14:39:51 Fr 38.93 11891
14:39:51 Fr 38.90 158
14:39:51 Fr 38.88 1442
14:39:52 Fr 38.88 80
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14:39:52 Fr 38.93 4930
14:39:52 Fr 39.00 10070
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14:39:53 Fr 38.94 1800
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14:39:53 Fr 38.89 1597
14:39:53 Fr 38.88 603
14:39:53 Fr 38.93 4930
14:39:53 Fr 38.93 5070
14:39:53 Fr 39.00 11851
14:39:53 Fr 39.01 3079
14:39:53 Fr 38.92 1597
14:39:53 Fr 38.92 6403
14:39:53 Fr 39.00 1000
14:39:53 Fr 39.00 2597
14:39:53 Fr 38.88 775
14:39:54 Fr 38.88 7186
14:39:54 Fr 39.00 2814
14:39:54 Fr 38.90 1000
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14:39:56 Fr 38.90 570
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14:39:57 Fr 38.95 800
14:39:57 Fr 38.98 3000
14:39:57 Fr 39.01 1935
14:39:58 Fr 39.01 9265
14:39:58 Fr 38.90 15000
14:39:58 Fr 39.00 5000
14:39:58 Fr 38.90 2900
14:39:58 Fr 38.88 2100
14:39:59 Fr 38.88 1600
14:39:59 Fr 38.93 2000
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14:40:00 Fr 38.90 3000
14:40:00 Fr 38.90 10900
14:40:00 Fr 38.90 803
14:40:00 Fr 38.98 600
14:40:00 Fr 38.99 10600
14:40:00 Fr 39.00 3800
14:40:00 Fr 39.00 100
14:40:01 Fr 38.91 7197
14:40:01 Fr 38.90 10000
14:40:01 Fr 38.88 5000
14:40:02 Fr 38.88 1300
14:40:02 Fr 38.87 570
14:40:02 Fr 38.87 10835
14:40:03 Fr 38.87 295
14:40:03 Fr 38.90 7705
14:40:03 Fr 38.90 750
14:40:03 Fr 38.90 2348
14:40:04 Fr 38.90 751
14:40:04 Fr 38.86 4249
14:40:04 Fr 38.86 25
Von 14:30:xx bis ~14:40 ging es zumindest auf XETRA doch schön gleichmäßig in vielen kleinen Schritten bei normal gefüllten Orderbüchern nach unten.
Ja, sowas kann auch genutzt und umgestzt werden. Für einzelne Aktien ist der Aufwand wegen deren Menge und den jeweils möglichen "nichtverhersehbaren" Informationen recht hoch.
Leute die sowas nutzen, bekommen die Info zumindest mit als erste und der Rest ist dann "Festlegen der Richtung" und Einsatz von schneller Ordertechnik.
@ TimeTrade [#3]
Lustig ist, schaut man sich den intraday Chart an, sieht es viel "brutaler" aus. Ist halt ein ganz normaler kleiner Selloff. Erlebt man regelmäßig bei den Q-Zahlen, wenn die operative Richtung weiter stimmt, völlig ohne Bedeutung;-).
@ TimeTrade [#3]
Na, wenn Du schon einen Kilometer lang Ticks postest, dann will ich Dir auch einen auffälligen Zeitpunkt nennen: 14:35:29. Bis zu dieser Sekunde kam offenbar über mehr als zwei Minuten lang kein Handel zustande, was angesichts der Handelsfrequenz vorher und nachher schon ein bemerkenswerter Aussetzer ist. Und noch in der selben Sekunde gab es dann auch die größte Preisbewegung (0,77%) und die stärkste Volumenspitze.
Hatte der Xetra-Handel in den zwei Minuten geklemmt und dann alles in einer Sekunde nachgeholt?
@Livetour [#5]
Guten Abend:-)
Wir hatten am Freitag auch Verfall. "Höhere" Volumenbewegungen gab es auch bei anderen AG´s.
Hier ein Beispiel mit der EON:
@ Livetour [#5]
Ich habe für Aktien keinen echten Livemitschnitt, nur ein Backfill von TPRT. Da dort solche Hänger "normal" sind bei, habe ich mir über diese "Pause" keine Gedanken gemacht.
Aber ich habe mir jetzt zusätzlich nochmal die zugehörigen Bid/Ask Spread's angesehen, wenn eine halbe Mio. Aktien plötzlich auf einer Seite als "Überschuss" sind, dann ist es nichts ungewöhnliches, das erstmal der Bid/Ask Spread "langsam" auseinander geht, bis genug Stücke auf der Gegenseite vorhanden sind.
Eventuell hätte der Trade als 50x 10000Stk einen besseren Durchschnittskurs erzielt. Es könnte also ein simpler getriggerter Stop einer grossen Position gewesen sein wofür es nur ganz wenige Ordermanagmentsysteme gibt, die innerhalb bestimmter Zeit erst versuchen das automatisch als Eisbergorder zu realisieren, bevor dann notfalls doch alles auf einmal in den Markt gehauen wird...
@ select [#6]
Verfall? Was'n das? :-) Aber stimmt, hatte ich vergessen. Mir ging es jedoch nicht so sehr um das hohe Tagesvolumen, sondern eher um den über zweiminütigen Aussetzer. Ich dachte, sowas gibt's auf Xetra höchstens in Folge eines technischen Fehlers, zumindest in einem so liquiden Marktumfeld.
Ich war zwar am Freitag nicht da, aber diese kleine Pause sieht mir doch ganz nach Vola Unterbrechung auf Xetra aus.
Kann man bei den Tickdaten auf Bloomberg nachsehen, habe ich leider aktuell aber nicht zur Hand.
Auf bloomberg erscheint ein s in der Umsatzstatistik. Eine "Intradayindikativauktion" . Vielleicht ist die Spitze im Volumen alle in der Auktion abgehandelten Stücke. Viele Börsen haben eine intraday eine eröffnungs und eine schlussauktion.
@ talon
Du hast Recht. VAK Kurs nach Volaunterbrechung steht da
Grüsse