Tuesday Evening Extreme Markets

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T U E S D A Y E V E N I N G E X T R E M E M A R K E T S
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E X T R E M E M A R K E T C O M M E N T A R Y
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The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes

The March NASDAQ 100 index closed lower on Tuesday
confirming Monday's huge key reversal down. Today's decline
led to a test of the 25% retracement level of last year's
rally crossing at 1581.68 and low-range close sets the stage
for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and
the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower
prices are possible near-term. Today's close below the
reaction low crossing at 1586 confirms that a short-term top
has been posted. If The NASDAQ 100 index extends this week's
decline, the 38% retracement level crossing at 1547.86 is
the next downside target.

The March S&P 500 index closed below the 20-day moving
average crossing at 1203.28 confirming that a short-term top
has been posted following yesterday's huge key reversal
down. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are
bearish signaling that a short-term top is in or is near. If
March extends this week's decline, fib support crossing at
1181.57 is the next downside target.

The Dow closed lower on Tuesday confirming yesterday's huge
key reversal down and below the 20-day moving average
crossing at 10,704 confirming that a short-term top has been
posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are
bearish signaling that a short-term top is in or is near.
Today's closes below the 20-day moving average opens the
door for a test of fib support crossing at 10,538 later this
week.
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INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=interest

March bonds posted a key reversal down on Tuesday and closed
below the 20-day moving average crossing at 112-12. The low-
range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 110-26
would renew the decline off December's low. Stochastics and
the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher
prices are still possible near-term. If March extends its
rebound off December's low, the reaction high crossing at
112-29 is the next upside target.

The CRB INDEX

The CRB index gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday due to
weakness in grains, some foods, fiber and precious metals. A
short covering rebound ahead of the close tempered some of
today's loss and the high-range close sets the stage for a
steady to firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the
RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term. If the CRB index extends today's
decline, the reaction low crossing at 275.40 is the next
downside target.
ENERGY MARKETS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=energy

February crude oil closed higher on Tuesday and above the
10-day moving average crossing at 43.76. The high-range
close sets the stage for a steady to firmer opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and turned
bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are
possible near-term. If February resumes last month's
decline, the previous reaction low crossing at 40.80 is the
next downside target. Closes below 40.80 would renew the
decline off October's high while opening the door for a
possible test of the 50% retracement level of the 2002-04
crossing at 38.63.

February heating oil closed higher due to short covering on
Tuesday and above broken support marked by last week's low
crossing at 120.20. The high-range close sets the stage for
a steady to firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the
RSI are oversold and are turning neutral hinting that a
short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 10-
day moving average crossing at 130.96 would confirm that a
low has been posted. If February extends this winter's
decline, a test of the August low crossing at 113.55 is
possible later this winter.

February unleaded gas closed sharply higher due to short
covering on Tuesday and above the 10-day moving average
crossing at 114.06 signaling that a short-term low is in or
is near. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to
firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are
bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are
possible near-term. If February extends the rebound off last
week's low broken fib support crossing at 120.10 is the next
upside target. If February renews this fall's decline, the
62% retracement level of the February-October rally crossing
at 104.83 is the next downside target.

February Henry Hub natural gas closed higher on Tuesday due
to short covering as it consolidated some of Monday's
decline. Today's rally led to a close just above broken
support marked by the 62% retracement level of the 2002-04-
rally crossing at 5.898. The high-range close sets the stage
for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and
the RSI are becoming oversold but remain bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If
February extends this fall's decline, the 75% retracement
level of the 2002-04 rally crossing at 5.022 is the next
downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average
crossing at 6.787 would signal that a short-term low has
been posted.
CURRENCIES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=currencies

The March Dollar closed sharply higher due to short covering
on Tuesday and above the 20-day moving average crossing at
81.76. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to
firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have
turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are
possible near-term. Today's close above the 20-day moving
average crossing at 81.76 confirms that a short-term low has
been posted while opening the door for a possible test of
December's high crossing at 83.33 later this month. If March
renews this year's decline, the June 1995 low on the monthly
chart crossing at 80.14 is the next downside target.

The March Euro gapped below the 20-day moving average
crossing at 134.24 and closed sharply lower on Tuesday
confirming that a short-term top has been posted. The low-
range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish
signaling that a short-term top has been posted. If March
extends this week's decline, December's low crossing at
131.80 is the next likely downside target.

The March Swiss Franc gapped down and closed at the 25%
retracement level of last year's rally crossing at .8579 on
Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are
bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible
near-term. If the decline continues the 38% retracement
level of last year's rally crossing at .8417 is the next
downside target.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower for the third day in
a row on Tuesday and the low-range close sets the stage for
a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Today's close below
the 10-day moving average crossing at .8203 signals that the
short covering rally off December's low has come to an end.
If March extends this week's decline, last week's gap
crossing at .8117 is the next downside target. Stochastics
and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.

The March Japanese Yen gapped down and closed below the 20-
day moving average crossing at .9672 signaling that this
month's corrective rally has come to an end. The low-range
close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and have
turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term.
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METALS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=metals

February gold closed lower on Tuesday and is challenging the
38% retracement level of the May-December rally crossing at
427.50. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. If February extends this week's
decline, the 50% retracement level of the May-December rally
crossing at 418 is the next downside target. Stochastics and
the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices
are possible near-term.

March silver closed lower on Tuesday as it extends
yesterday's breakout below December's low crossing at 6.620.
The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower
opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned
bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible
near-term. If March extends this week's decline, a test of
the 75% retracement level of last year's rally crossing at
6.115 is possible later this month.

March copper closed sharply lower on Tuesday and below the
20-day moving average crossing at 139.50 confirming that a
double top with November's high was posted on Monday.
Today's low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower
opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned
bearish with Tuesday's decline signaling that sideways to
lower prices are possible near-term.

FOOD & FIBER http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=food

March coffee closed lower on Tuesday and spiked below 20-day
moving average crossing at 101.26. The mid-range close sets
the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and
the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish signaling
that a short-term top is in or is near. Closes below with
the 20-day moving average crossing at 101.26 would confirm
that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the
rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at
110.59 is the next upside target.

March cocoa closed lower on Tuesday as it extended last
week's breakout below support crossing at 1551. The mid-
range close sets the stage for a steady opening on
Wednesday. If March extends Monday's decline, the 75%
retracement level of the October-November rally crossing at
1508 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day
moving average crossing at 1556 are needed to signal that a
short-term low has been posted. Stochastics and the RSI are
oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower
prices are possible.

March sugar posted a key reversal down on Tuesday after
falling short of testing minor resistance crossing at 926.
The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower
opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought
and are turning bearish signaling that a short-term top is
in or is near. Closes below the 10-day moving average
crossing at 897 would signal that a short-term top has been
posted. If March extends the rally off December's low, the
reaction high crossing at 926 is the next upside target.

March cotton closed higher on Tuesday and the high-range
close sets the stage for a steady to firmer opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling
that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.
Closes above the reaction high crossing at 44.80 or below
November's low crossing at 41.80 are needed to confirm a
breakout of the late-fall trading range. Look for choppy
price action to continue near-term until March breaks out of
the aforementioned trading range.
GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains

March corn closed fractionally lower on Tuesday as it
consolidates above the lower boundary of December's trading
range crossing at 2.00. The mid-range close sets the stage
for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI
are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term. Closes below psychological support
crossing at 2.00 would renew last year's decline while
opening the door for a possible test of monthly support
crossing at 1.92 later this month. March corn remains locked
in a narrow trading range and needs to close above the
previous reaction high crossing at 2.09 1/2 to confirm that
a short-term low has been posted.

March wheat gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday due to
spillover weakness from corn and soybeans. Today's decline
spiked below December's low crossing at 2.95 before a short
covering rebound ahead of the close tempered some of today's
loss. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish
signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. Closes below December's low crossing at 2.95 would
open the door for a possible test of monthly support
crossing at 2.73 later this winter. Multiple closes above
3.08 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been
posted.

March Kansas City Wheat gapped down and closed lower on
Tuesday. March spiked below December's low crossing at 3.24
in early trading. However, a short covering rebound ahead of
the close tempered some of today's loss and the high-range
close sets the stage for a steady to firmer opening on
Wednesday. Closes below December's low crossing at 3.24
would renew this winter's decline while opening the door for
a possible test of weekly support crossing at 3.12 later
this year. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term are
possible.

SOYBEAN COMPLEX

March soybeans gapped down and closed sharply lower on
Tuesday and below the reaction low crossing at 5.34 1/2
confirming that a short-term top has been posted. The low-
range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If
March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing
at 5.19 is the next downside target then this fall's low
crossing at 5.10.

March soybean meal gapped below the 20-day moving average
crossing at 160.40 and closed sharply lower on Tuesday. The
low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening
on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI turned bearish
signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. Today's close below the reaction low crossing at
156.70 opens the door for sideways to lower prices during
the first half of January.

March soybean oil closed lower on Tuesday and posted a new
contract low. A short covering rebound ahead of the close
tempered some of today's loss allowing March to close above
trading range support crossing at 19.89. The mid-range close
sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday.
Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways
to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below 19.89
would confirm a downside breakout of the fall trading range
while opening the door for a possible test of weekly support
crossing at 19.50 later this winter.
LIVESTOCK http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock

February hogs closed lower due to light profit taking on
Tuesday. Today's mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish
signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-
term. If February extends December's corrective rally, a
test of last month's high crossing at 77.73 is possible
later this winter. Closes below the 10-day moving average
crossing at 74.66 would signal that the corrective rally off
December's low has come to an end.

February bellies closed higher on Tuesday due to short
covering as it consolidated some of last Thursday's decline.
Despite today's rally, February bellies remain below the 75%
retracement level of the October-November rally crossing at
95.28. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to
firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are
oversold and are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a
short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-
day moving average crossing at 96.48 would signal that a
short-term low has been posted. If February extends last
month's decline, a test of October's low crossing at 92.65
is the next downside target.

February cattle gapped up and closed sharply higher on
Tuesday due to short covering triggered by a winter storm
moving through the Plains and into the Midwest. Today's
rally led to a close above the 20-day moving average
crossing at 90.12 confirming that the decline off December's
high has ended. The high-range close sets the stage for a
steady to firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the
RSI are turning neutral with today's rally signaling that
sideways prices are possible near-term. If February extends
today's rally, gap resistance crossing at 90.53 is the next
upside target.

March Feeder cattle closed sharply higher on Tuesday due to
short covering and closed above the 10-day moving average
crossing at 98.68. The high-range close sets the stage for a
steady to firmer opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the
RSI will need to see additional strength before turning
bullish. If March extends today's rally, the 20-day moving
average crossing at 98.68 is the next upside target.
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E X T R E M E F U T U R E S
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Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
More at http://quotes.ino.com/analysis/extremes/futures/

WINNERS

HOG5 Heating Oil Feb 2005 1.2466 0.0548 +4.60
CLG5 Light Sweet Crude Oil Feb 2005 43.91 1.78 +4.23
HUH5 NY Harbor Unleaded Gasoline Mar 2005 1.1874 0.0432 +3.77
FCH5 Feeder Cattle Mar 2005 99.450 2.900 +3.00
NGG5 Henry Hub Natural Gas Feb 2005 5.902 0.140 +2.42
LCG5 Live Cattle Feb 2005 90.475 2.100 +2.38
GIG5 Goldman Sachs Commodity Index Feb 2005 309.50 5.50 +1.81
DXM5 Dollar Index Jun 2005 82.74 1.45 +1.78
MQH5 Mexican Peso Mar 2005 11.5141 0.1440 +1.27
CTK5 Cotton May 2005 44.96 0.47 +1.06

LOSERS

HGJ5 Copper Apr 2005 1.3240 -0.1275 -8.80
AFG5 Aluminum Feb 2005 0.8710 -0.0700 -7.45
SMH5 Soybean Meal Mar 2005 155.9 -5.4 -3.35
SIZ6 Silver Dec 2006 6.742 -0.187 -2.75
KCU5 Coffee 'C' Sep 2005 107.00 -2.45 -2.26
RLH5 Russell 2000 Index Mar 2005 630.25 -13.75 -2.14
SF6 Soybeans Jan 2006 552 -12 -2.13
YKF6 Mini Soybeans Jan 2006 552 -12 -2.13
SFY Swiss Franc Cash 0.85490 -0.01820 -2.08
NDH5 NASDAQ 100 Index Mar 2005 1582.00 -33.50 -2.07

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E X T R E M E S T O C K S
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Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
More at http://quotes.ino.com/analysis/extremes/stocks/

WINNERS

STEM StemCells Inc 5.9300 1.8200 +44.28
GAIT Langer Inc 7.6690 1.1390 +17.44
ROV Rayovac Corp 34.6500 5.0900 +17.22
TAYD Taylor Devices 6.7300 0.7700 +12.90
KVHI KVH Industries 11.0800 1.1400 +11.47
GES Guess Inc 13.3400 1.3600 +11.35
BNSO Bonso Electronics Intl 5.7700 0.5700 +10.96
TONS Novamerican Steel 60.7100 5.4900 +9.94
TCNO Tecnomatix Technologies Ltd 16.6900 1.5000 +9.87
RDA Reader's Digest Assn 15.2300 1.2900 +9.25

LOSERS

NGPS NovAtel Inc 35.9210 -10.8880 -23.26
RFIL RF Industries 10.1000 -2.9200 -22.43
DCAI Dialysis Corp Amer 24.1000 -4.9300 -16.93
MIKR Mikron Infrared 9.8600 -1.9600 -16.58
TRFDF Tramford International 6.6000 -1.3000 -16.46
KKD Krispy Kreme Doughnuts 10.5000 -1.8100 -14.70
BSML BriteSmile Inc 6.0000 -1.0000 -14.29
MANC Manchester Technologies 9.7900 -1.5600 -13.74
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort 36.0100 -5.6300 -13.52
MFRI MFRI, Inc 8.8200 -1.3700 -13.44
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T H A N K Y O U
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