15.
06.17
10:02

New Ernest Estimation for Germany

4.DRV harvest estimate: grain and rapeseed harvest only slightly above last year The German Raiffeisenverband (DRV) estimates the German grain harvest in its latest June 17 edition at 45.8 million tonnes . In the weak previous year, only 45.3 million tonnes were achieved. The results are only in the narrow multi-year average. The collection of the sowing areas of the Federal Statistical Office resulted in an area of ​​6.27 million ha and -0.8% compared to the previous year. The DRV itself has calculated the volume income of 73.1 dt / ha, which is +1.8% higher than in the previous year. The German DRV estimates the entire German wheat harvest at 25.2 million tonnes or +3% higher than in the previous year.This is due to the higher income of 78.5 dt / ha. On the other hand, the rye harvest is expected to fall by -5.8%, mainly due to the build-up of the area. The harvest   Of triticale increases by + 6.7%. Besides a small area expansion, the higher yields are the reason for the better result. The total rye harvest is estimated at 10.65 million tonnes. If the yield level is unchanged, the decline in the cultivation area is crucial for a harvest forecast of -0.7%. The maize is also down by 5.7% compared to the previous year due to a smaller cultivation area.The 12% expanded oat area should deliver a 15.3% higher crop 2017 with a slightly higher yield. This will significantly reduce the import requirements. The DRV is estimating the German rapeseed harvest to 4.79 million tonnes or +4.7% higher than in the previous year. If the cultivating area is declining, the yield is estimated to be +5.9% higher than the harvest. Particularly strong increases are expected in Schleswig-Holstein at +45.7%. The reasons are both an increase in the cultivation area and higher yield expectations on the order of 40 dt / ha.For Mecklenburg-Vorpommern , the rapeseed crop is expected to be nearly 35% higher if the cultivation area is slightly declining. The main reason is the increase in the annual yield of 26.7 dt / ha to this year 37 dt / ha. Brandenburg is also one of the winners of this year's rape harvest with +18.6%. In this case too, the 18% increase in the number of hectares is decisive for the result. In the other cultivation areas the harvest expectations are in the negative range. Both the cultivation areas as well as the area-specific area yields play an increasing role in comparison to the previous year.     

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