29.
09.17
Inconsistent course developments in the oilseed business

Ölsaaten Cockpit, 29.09.2017

  • US import tariffs on biodiesel provide buoyancy
  • The weakening of the euro is driving import prices for soya and rapeseed
  • high crude oil price
  • reduced EU import duties on biodiesel
  • seasonally rising palm oil production presses on the quotations
  • Harvest pressure by current US soybean harvest

Oilseeds courses under harvest pressure - high crude oil and falling euro rate for inflation   The oilseed market does not come out of the contrasting developments of the main influencing factors. The crude oil price is driven by the political tensions between the US and Iran and ensures high fuel prices, which serve as a guide for the commodity quotes of biofuels   with a focus on biodiesel.A euro price with falling purchasing power contributes to the fact that import goods have to be purchased at soya and rape more expensive. In the case of the biodiesel market, the reduced EU import duties are pushing for the prices of vegetable oils, of which rape is particularly affected. On the other hand, the new US import tariffs on biodiesel support the course developments in the soybean complex. Changing assessments of the US Soybean harvested have led to a moderate development of soya. In any case, EU imports of soybeans will become more expensive by themselves. Despite rising crude oil prices, palm oil prices have to bend the rising seasonal supply. The production peak will be in the coming month of October.Accumulated inventories are depressed by the rates. The future course developments in the oilseed sector are difficult to bring to a denominator. While there is hardly any scope for rape due to the low-priced biodiesel imports and cheaper palm oil in the future, the soybean sector could have some more air in the Soybean depending on the actual output of the US harvests and the difficult sowing conditions in South America. However, one should be aware that the oilseed market is above-average well supplied, so the prices do not grow into the sky. Trade policy tensions and unsettled import duties are causing uncertainty

Inconsistent course developments in the oilseed business
ZMP Live+ Logo

ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Despite the high crude oil prices, rap prices are being kept in check by cheap biodiesel imports into the EU. The cheaper competition of the palm oil has the same effect. A weaker purchasing power of the euro ensures rising soybean prices. The uncertain outcome of the US soybean harvest has raised some risk premiums in the development of soybean. (Trade) Political risks are causing further uncertainties in the oilseed sector.

ZMP Market Report Compact
Latest news from the markets, in compact for you

You see historical data because you're not logged in or not a ZMP Live+ member. Get your information advantage now!

15.
03.24
11:22

IGC corrects world soybean harvest 2023/24 - forecast 2024/25 The 2023/24 soybean harvest will be reduced to around 390 million t due to the weather-related adverse harvest in Brazil. Consumption is reset to a similar extent. This means that the supply situation changes only insignificantly. The IGC has issued a preliminary estimate for the 2024/25…

14.
03.24
14:32

The 2024 rapeseed harvest in Germany remains below the previous year's level . The German Raiffeisen Association (DRV) has based on the Stat. Federal Office of December 22, 2023 for winter crops made a first rapeseed harvest estimate for 2024. The DRV has partly extrapolated the forecasts of yields per hectare using several years of experience. The…

09.
03.24
12:34

USDA cuts oilseed market compared to previous month The latest USDA estimate of oilseed production for 2023/24 is somewhat more subdued than last month. Total production will be reduced by 1 million t to 658 million t. Global consumption remains unchanged at 648 million tonnes. Year-on-year production increased by 20 million tonnes to a record…

Rückrufservice
Beschreiben Sie bitte Ihr Anliegen, damit wir uns auf den Rückruf vorbereiten können.
Yes, I have read the Privacy Policy note and I consent that the data provided by me, including the contact data, for the processing of the inquiry and in case of questions are electronically collected and stored. My data will only be used strictly for my request and will not be passed without my consent. This consent can be revoked any time with effect for the future.'
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

Register now

Jetzt registrieren und ZMP Live+ 14 Tage kostenlos testen!
  • Dauerhaft kostenfrei
  • Keine Zahlungsinformationen erforderlich