Russian import ban for pork - replacement exports reach not for compensation
The Russian import ban for pork is especially noticeable if the pig slaughter season again and overwhelm the domestic demand. In the first half of 2014 you benefited from the deliveries in the month of January before the lock. Now, the remaining bans on meat imports for beef and poultry are also effective.
Pig prices currently at €1.50 / kg make it clear that when a 110% self-sufficiency the export in sufficient extent irreplaceable necessary is. Missing supplies to pile up after Russia with end of July 2014 - 87% over the same period of the previous year.
However should be the reduction of pork exports in Ukraine-36% and in the other countries not entirely disregarded.
However gratifying increases in other countries are. The Philippines and South Korea have their imports increased by rd 85% or together about 100,000 t . Japan has increased its EU imports to around 50% or 65,000 tonnes .
It has increasing opportunities in the direction of with United States + 45 % or 12,000 t and given to Australia with just under 20% and 8,000 tons of China's reducing imports cancel each other out again not quite with the additional imports of Hong Kong . The shortfall is relatively low.
On balance rising spare exports to other third countries insufficient, to compensate for the Russian import potential of approximately 650,000 tonnes.
In addition a weak domestic demand, which has received little weather impulses in the barbecue season this year.
