Less cases of PED - but increasing supply shortages in the U.S. pork sector
The number of weekly recorded PEDv-cases (fatal diarrhea disease in piglets) subsides after the winter period in the United States. This confirms a key suspect for the spread of the disease. The disinfecting of the pig vans succeeds only partially during the frost or cold period. With the warmer season, fewer freezes the contaminated washing water in the inaccessible crevices and is flushed out more. An additional effect can be seen in an increased attention is paid to the problem of pages of personnel.
The decline is so gratifying, the remaining 200 cases are still at a high level. It remains to hope that the messages will reduce significantly in the next few weeks.
Since the beginning of the year 2014 are the battle weight of delivered pigs to + 5 kg has been enhanced. That has helped until the Feb. 2014 into to equalize the amount of pork and partly to increase so that stocks are created.
There are inventories sharply fallen during the months of March and April 2014. Compared to the same month last year, there were still 10% over 30% over the five-year average.
The battle weights should further up on + 8 kg the carcasses are increasing. However, it will not likely, to compensate for the number of dropouts battle through higher weights. A further reduction of inventories seems inevitable.
Usually reserves for the barbecue season will be built in the months March, until May April, because the requirements of item No. Slaughter can be not sufficiently controlled.
This year 2014 going to in the barbecue in the United States just, especially since a supply deficit is also the beef. A small balance can be produced by the growing poultry industry. Ultimately, the export will be driven back to meet the domestic demand.
The last little gemäßigtteren pig prices will attract July again €2 per kg in the main months until August on a higher level of annualized.
