The CFTC data for wheat and maize from 24 June 2014

at the Chicago wheat, the net short positions have increased in the last week of the report to 11.494 on a total of 40.436 contracts. This resulted in a further price pressure especially in Chicago. Despite the EL Nino, the relevant popular organizations in the current marketing year 2014/15 appreciate a higher inventory build-up in the world wheat. The stock exchange prices in Chicago and Paris currently apart by approx. 35 Euro / t, and it is expected that the Paris courses rather adapt toward Chicago as vice versa. When you consider that in most years the new direction of grain prices provided in July and August, one suspects nothing good in the moment from the perspective of farmers.

higher than previously expected corn stocks in the United States from the WJ 2013/14 and good growing conditions in the North American fields push corn prices to the lowest level for four years. The speculators acknowledged this in the last week of the report, with a further reduction of the net long positions to 22.104 contracts on now 115.176 net long positions. In contrast, the courses in Chicago come to Paris thus more under pressure. This the difference between the rates of the Atlantic currently stands at just under 60 euros / t and it is therefore expected that maize is pushing worldwide increase in the feed rations.

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