27.
08.14
16:28

China's corn crop from drought - affected by earnings still unclear

Regional drought put Chinese corn harvest limits upwards.

There have been at irregular intervals of insufficient rainfall in some major corn-growing region in the northern part of China . The Henan province with almost 10% of Chinese corn harvest has hit the worst with less than 50% of normal rainfall. Some provinces such as Liaoning, NEI Mongolia and Haley with 23% of Chinese corn harvest have experienced extended periods of inadequate rainfall.

Solid in other parts of the Northeast are occasional rain showers . But even in the less affected areas remains below average soil moisture content. The drought coincided with the crucial pollination and piston period of education.

The corn-growing region in the South have received mostly average rainfall.

The maize crop in northern China falls in September and October month, while she already goes to the South toward the end.

How much dry damage measured actually might be on the overall result, still remains open. The first estimates assume that the previous earnings forecasts could rather represent the upper limit.

The USDA estimates for the corn harvest 2014 were in China so far to 222 million tonnes around 4 million tonnes higher than last year. It is critical to look at whether this order of magnitude can be kept.

For the case of a weaker harvest is to check whether the again inventories built up enough or again some higher imports are necessary. As a rule was considered so far, that 35% end inventory to consumption the bottom bar represents. About 40% are calculated according to the current state of the estimates. Whether that meets the Chinese, we'll need to wait.

In the face of falling pork and significantly reduced poultry stocks , relief could come entirely from the consumption side.

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