MARS: Favorable earnings prospects for the EU crop

MARS estimates mainly higher EU - wheat yields 2014

MARS is the official abbreviation for the Agrarmeteorologische Institute at the European Commission, tasked with this is to create a data base for assessing the earnings from the compilation of comprehensive weather developments.

The climate data are matched with the regional results of previous years, so that experience can be derived in this way, to what extent the weather development controlled the income potential has a continuous update of the information basis leads to constant corrections and improvements in the relevance of the forecasts.

A Basic three-way split is after date from may 2014. In the Western EU countries from Britain via France to Spain after expects higher-than-average income. The site-specific different yield potentials are taken into account. striking the differences on the Gulf stream beneficiary island Ireland with 9 tonnes of wheat per hectare are wheat per hectare in the dry Spain with only 3.2 t.

Above average wheat yields are expected in the majority of the eastern EU Member States. The yields are between 3.5 and 4.5 tons per hectare. Income differences are a sequence of different soil and climatic conditions of the Northern Baltic States up to the South-Eastern Europe with a continental climate influence. Here also the lower intensity of cultivation plays a role.

Below-average earnings expectations are exposed in the 3 countries Czech Republic, Slovakia and Croatia. In these areas, the conditions in the winter period were to be inauspicious again to catch up the vegetation.

In East West in the midway through the EU on countries of Sweden and Finland through Germany to Italy after keep the revenue estimates in the good average area in previous years. Here too, the site-specific earning potential be decisive for the absolute level of the Flächenerträge.

Applying the known or provisional crops, one is at these earnings expectations in the upper average chessboard EU wheat crop in the order of 145 million tonnes expected. The total harvest beyond on the mark of 300 million tonnes. The harvest of the previous year amounted to 297 million tonnes.

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