Unchanged pork prices for 12./13. KW-2018 The ISN Internet auction on 20-Mar-18 delivered an average price of € 1.47 / kg in a range of € 1.455 to € 1.49 / kg and a projection of 23%. General market and price development: As expected, the new German battle numbers are above the 1 million mark, and the pre-registrations have stood still the previous week. The living offers are expected to remain at current levels.In meat sales, the rising purchase prices could not be fully implemented. The German price trend is slowly starting to affect the other EU Member States as well. In the international pig market USA, Brazil, Russia, China, pork prices are declining across the board. Denmark: Danish pork prices remained unchanged for the 12th week of production . For the upcoming 13 KW , the base prices will be reduced by - 4.03 ct / kg . In France / Brittany , the listing was on 19.03. reduced by 0.4 ct / kg. The battle numbers are 379,953 (last week 376.938 last week 372.818) Piece in the upper average range. The Dutch slaughter companies paid in the 12th KW-18 by -2 to -3 cents / kg less . Belgium: Pig prices were reduced by - 4 ct / kg in the 12th week of 18 -18 . Germany : For the 12./13.KW-18, the merger price was fixed unchanged at € 1.45 per kg or index point . The range is from 1.45 to 1.45 € / kg. The pre-registrations fall with 235,700 (previous week 235,400 before last week 227,100) pieces of the same level and let battle figures above the 1 million piece mark expect. Battle numbers of the past week are back at a high level with 1,027,500 (last week 980,782 last week 949,114). The applicable in Austria fattening pig base price for the 12/13. KW-18 remain unchanged. The pork prices in Spain are on Thu, 15.03.remained unchanged. In (Upper) Italy pig prices on 19.03 in Modena have been increased by + 0,2 ct / kg , on Tues in Reggio + 0,1 ct / kg and Cremona 0,0 ct / kg . The battle figures are in narrow midfield with 42,265 (previous week 42,764 last week 41,798) piece. In Poland , pork prices at 57% MFL of the equivalent of € 1.47 / kg were maintained on 09.03.2018. Outlook: Despite increased battle numbers and pre-registrations, the bottom of pork prices could possibly have been reached before Easter. To what extent this price will last even over the Easter days, will have to prove yet. There will be 2 days of battle missing. In the other EU Member States, the courses are following the German example following, with the exception of Italy. At the international level, pig prices are falling to low levels in almost all major production areas. The US prices are on 21.03.18. in IOWA fell to the equivalent of € 0.989 / kg . The increased pork quantities can not be accommodated without problems in the market.Currently, the living offers are well above the predictions that can be derived from the livestock census of 1.12.2017. Stock prices in Chicago have fallen for the front month of April 2018 1.12 ct / kg. The barbecue months June / July / August should bring in the peak € 1.39 / kg. In autumn 2018, only 1.15 € / kg is expected. China's pork quota fell on 07.03.2018 to the equivalent of 2.08 € / kg . The increased supply volumes from the newly constructed production facilities are only taking up the Chinese market at falling prices. There are fears that the previously expected high EU export figures to China may be significantly lower. On the other hand, the currently uneconomically low price level will lead to further operating tasks of the traditionally small units.The Russian pig prices fell back on 18.03.2018 to 1.57 € / kg . The supply pressure comes not only from rising numbers of pigs, but also from high slaughter weights, which reach up to 120 kg. Overweight pigs are rated only slightly lower in Russia. With rising feed prices, the calculation for the Russian pigmine is again somewhat narrower. In particular, the poor feed conversion beats. Demand remains subdued for the time being. Brazilian pig prices have again yielded on 03/21/2018 on average in the Southwest region to the equivalent of 0.991 € / kg.The Brazilian Real has lost some of its purchasing power. The international competition from the USA and Canada is putting massive pressure on Brazilian export prices.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
Despite increased battle numbers and persistently high pre-registrations, the listing was maintained unchanged. Whether this postion holds over the Easter holidays with missing battle days, one will have to wait.