Since the initial stocks of raw material and potato products were low in this marketing season, the hunger of processors of fry raw material was already very high at the beginning of this year's harvest season. At the beginning of the main harvest, only a few field crops have the chance to grow. The Federation of Producers FIWAP confirms that the additional quantity this year comes only from the cultivation extension. Recent tests have also shown in France that yields are below the 5-year average. There are hardly any gains. An early maturing of the field crops probably prevents possible increases in the yield per hectare throughout Europe. Looking at the sales opportunities in the coming months, Eastern Europe is likely to demand steadily from the local market. There, from a mix of drought and heavy rainfall, the harvest volume was 3.1% smaller than the 5-year average. This is already leading to the physical market being described as stable throughout Europe. The continuing drought not only prevents growth in many parts of Europe, but is also currently hampering harvesting. Under these circumstances, there is currently no supply pressure.The Belgapom quotation for fries remains at 10 € / dt and Hollands exports to Eastern Europe, which are handled in big bags, cost 14.5 to 16 € / dt. Wherever it is cleared, it is still difficult to find buyers for the immediate sale, which means that storage is now preferred. The offered prices are no longer accepted by many farmers. This behavior is observed in all big five countries. The quality of the processing potatoes is generally good. Partly very high starch contents of 23 - 26% are measured. In Germany potato prices stabilized in the past week. There is no more supply pressure and even in East Lower Saxony, the salvaged tubers are small. There is now harvested quickly, because it can be watered beforehand and the tubers are then spared in the harvest. Buyers who want fresh potatoes must come to terms with the lack of oversizes. There should be good average potato yields in Holland, the AMI reported last Tuesday, citing the cultivation association VTA and the potato-processing company Aviko.The common varieties Agria, Innovator, Victoria and Fontane would come to an average of 60 tons / hectare. In the polder areas, a further increase would be possible. The oversize share is already high here. The most widely traded futures contract on processed potatoes, the April 20 deadline, reflects well on the European potato market. The 15 euro mark is obviously so interesting for many sellers that every attempt to exceed this price is used by farmers to secure their prices. The PotatoCall also calls the 15-euro mark resistance.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The Association of Potato Growers in the Big Five (EU) Big Five Grow Countries (NEPG) expects prices for ready-made potatoes to rise in the autumn. According to the experts, the countries France, Belgium, Holland, Great Britain and Germany will harvest 27-27.3 million tons of consumer potatoes. This is 3% more than the average of the last five years and 12% more than in 2018. It is not the yield that makes up the surplus, but a larger acreage. For example, French farmers have grown 14% more potatoes than on a 5-year average. The average yield per hectare is 44.7 tonnes in the Big Five, 47.1 tonnes in the 5-year average and only 40.9 tonnes in 2018.