Pig prices for 13./14. KW-2018 The ISN Internet auction on 27-Mar-18 delivered an average price of € 1.48 / kg in a range of € 1.475 to € 1.48 / kg and a projection of 77.6%. General market and price development: The German battle numbers are repeatedly above the 1 million mark, the pre-registrations have been withdrawn due to the failing 2 days of slaughter at Easter.In meat sales, rising purchase prices could not always be realized. The rest of the EU Member States are predominantly in a balanced market situation with unchanged prices. In the international pig market USA, Canada, Brazil, Russia, China, pig prices continue to decline across the board. Denmark: Danish pork prices remained unchanged for the 12th week of production . For the upcoming 13th and 14th KW , the base prices will be reduced by - 4.03 ct / kg and will stay for 2 weeks. In France / Brittany , the listing on 26.03. reduced by -0.7 ct / kg.The battle figures are 379,248 (previous week 379,953 last week 376,938) piece in the upper average range. The Dutch slaughter companies have paid unchanged in the 13th KW-18 . Belgium: Pig prices remained unchanged in the 13th week of 18 -18. Germany : For the 13./14.KW-18, the merger price was fixed unchanged at € 1.45 per kg or index point . The range is from € 1.42 to € 1.45 / kg. The pre-registrations fall with 215,500 (last week 235,700 before last week 235,400) piece holiday due (Easter) low. Battle numbers of the past week are back at a high level with 1,036,655 (previous week 1,027,500 last week 980,782). The applicable in Austria fattening pig base price is for the 13/14. KW-18 remain unchanged. The pig prices in Spain are on Thu, 22.03. remained unchanged.In (Upper) Italy , pig prices on March 26th in Modena remained unchanged at 0.0 ct / kg , at Di in Reggio 0.0 ct / kg and Cremona 0.0 ct / kg . The battle numbers are in narrow midfield with 43.666 (42.265 last week before 42.764). In Poland on 16.03.2018 pork prices at 57% MFL fell to the equivalent of € 1,424 / kg . Outlook: The pork market remains largely stable over the Easter holidays despite two missing days of slaughter. This is also the case in most EU Member States. At the international level, there is a continuing decline in pig prices in almost all major production areas. The sharpest decline of 0.6 ct / kg has taken place in China, but US prices have also fallen below 0.90 ct / kg. The US prices are on 27.03.18. in IOWA fell to the equivalent of € 0,888 / kg . Increasing quantities of pork as a result of a 3.3% increase in slaughter pig numbers and above-average slaughter weights are not fully accommodated in the market.Stockpiles in the cold stores have risen. The announcement by China and Mexico to impose tariffs on US pork imports has put additional pressure on prices. The stock market quotations in Chicago fell back to 1.03 ct / kg for the front month April 2018. The barbecue months June / July / August should bring in the top only 1.33 € / kg. Pork prices in the US are expected to be around € 1 / kg and below for the supply-rich autumn / winter period. China's pig prices on 21.03.2018 have fallen to the equivalent of € 1.98 / kg . The increased supply from the newly built production facilities is only being taken up by declining demand for the New Year's Festival week in February at falling prices. There are fears that the high EU export figures to China may be significantly lower.On the other hand, pork imports are still cheaper than domestic production. The currently uneconomically low price level will lead to further operating tasks of the traditionally small units. The Russian pig prices fell back on 18.03.2018 to 1.57 € / kg . The supply pressure comes not only from rising numbers of pigs, but also from high slaughter weights, which reach up to 120 kg. Overweight pigs are rated only slightly lower in Russia. With rising feed prices, the calculation for the Russian pigmine is again somewhat narrower. In particular, the poor feed conversion beats. Demand remains subdued for the time being. Brazilian pork prices on 28/03/2018 averaged again in the southwest region at the equivalent of 0.98 € / kg . The Brazilian Real has lost some of its purchasing power. The international competition from the USA and Canada is putting massive pressure on Brazilian export prices.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
Stable pork prices over the difficult phase of the Easter time with missing battle days are not to be considered as a rule. However, the previous price decline has been strong enough to prevent further price declines. Whether the quotations can be kept in the usually weak demand week after the week, will have to prove yet.
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