Germany: V- price 2.20 €/ kg (range 2.20 – 2.25 €/kg)The weekly slaughter numbers were higher again at 739,397 pigs ( previous week 729,433) , the slaughter weights remained the same at 97.5 kg . Pre-registrations have become significantly higher at 281,200 pigs (previous week 264,200) . The ISN auction on Tuesday October 3rd, 2023 did not take place due to a public holiday.(Pre-auction delivered €2.22/kg). The V price has been set at €2.20/kg in a range of €2.20 - 2.25/kg for the period from October 5th, 2023 to October 11th, 2023. ASF : As of September 22, 2023, 5,566 ASF-infected wild boars have been officially confirmed in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg. In Sweden, the number of ASF wild boar finds has increased to over 40. More than 30,000 domestic pigs have now been culled in northern Italy. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark, the comparable calculated prices of €1.86/kg were maintained unchanged in the 40th week of 2023. In Belgium, the prices in the 40th week of 2023 are the comparable calculated prices of €2.17 /kg reduced by 2 ct/kg.In the Netherlands , prices will remain unchanged in the 40th week of 2023 at a comparable €2.15/kg . In France/Brittany prices have fallen by -2 cents /kg to €2.00 /kg . The number of battles remained almost the same at 350,489; Slaughter weights are a reduced 95.0 kg. In Italy , the prices were reduced again for the first time in the 40th week of 2023 by -1 ct/kg. Supply remains tight. The increasing ASF culling is causing noticeable bottlenecks. In Spain, prices will be reduced by a further -3 ct/kg in the 40th week of 2023 with a comparable €2.28/ kg. After the hot summer phase, slaughter weights increase. Declining meat sales are forcing prices to be adjusted downwards. In the USA/IOWA, producer prices have fallen to €1.56/kg. The number of battles has recovered to the previous week's level. The section prices have mostly been reset for seasonal reasons. For Oct.-23 the stock market prices are at 1.67 €/kg. Lt. In the livestock census, sow numbers fell by -1.2% compared to the previous year. Brazil: Average producer prices have been reset to €1.59/kg . Domestic demand drops noticeably towards the end of the month. However, the live supply remains limited depending on the season. The export figures are on a stable course. China: Prices have stabilized at €2.87/kg. Only for the consumption-intensive month of January 2024 is €2.94/kg expected again. The number of sows fell by -1.9% compared to the previous year. China allows Russia to supply pork from ASF-free regions. Conclusion: The current autumn period is usually characterized by an increasing supply of pork with limited demand due to the phasing out of grilling activities. The number of battles stabilizes at over 725,000 per week. Pre-registrations also remain at an elevated level. Prices are coming under increasing pressure.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The autumn months are usually characterized by an increasing supply of live meat while demand for grilling decreases. Therefore, prices are under seasonal pressure. Expectations are based on a price-stabilizing increase in processed goods.