Germany: V- price 2.10 €/ kg (range 2.10 – 2.10 €/kg)The weekly slaughter numbers were slightly lower at 755,318 pigs ( previous week 772,794 ), and the slaughter weights fell to 97.4 kg . Pre-registrations have fallen to 255,600 pigs (previous week 258,200) . The ISN auction on Tue 05.12 2023 brought a price of €2.22/kg on average for the animals sold. Range ranges from 2.18 -2.255 €/kg. The V price has been set at €2.10/kg in a range of €2.10 - €2.10/kg for the period from December 7th, 2023 to December 14th, 2023. ASF : As of November 30, 2023, 5,597 ASF-infected wild boars have been officially confirmed in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg. In October 2023 only 8 ASF cases were reported. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark, the comparable prices remained unchanged at €1.91/kg in the 49th week of 2023. In Belgium, prices remained at a comparable price of €2.09/kg in the 49th week of 2023.In the Netherlands , the quotations in the 49th week of 2023 will remain unchanged with comparable prices of €2.05/kg . In France/Brittany, prices rose slightly to €1.767/kg . The slaughter numbers again reach an average of 366,011 pigs with a slaughter weight of 96.39 kg. In Italy, the prices were reset by -2 ct/kg in the 49th week of 2023. Demand is decreasing somewhat. In Spain, prices will remain unchanged in the 49th week of 2023 at a comparable €2.14/ kg. The export business has declined significantly. In the USA/IOWA, producer prices fell again significantly to €1.10/kg. In July 23, the prices were still at €2/kg. The number of battles has increased slightly again. The cold stores have taken in more goods again. The unit prices remain stable. For the new front month of February.Brazil: Producer prices have increased slightly on average to €1.65/kg . Domestic demand has caught up. However, exports have declined. China: Prices have fallen to €2.55/kg . The usual surge in demand before Chinese New Year leaves something to be desired; the January 2024 rates are only €2.35/kg. According to the government, the number of pigs is still too high to be profitable; The number of sows in particular should be reduced again. Government purchases of 10,000 tonnes of stocks are intended to stabilize price developments. Conclusion: The pre-Christmas business is in full swing when it comes to processing, but there is not enough to raise prices. The number of battles stabilizes at over 750,000 per week. Pre-registrations remain at a limited, increased level. The prices are developing some tension upwards, but obviously the price should be frozen until over the holidays.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The scarce live supply is mostly sufficient to meet the brisk demand. Price increases are hidden. Apparently the current price level will be maintained until the holidays.