26.
01.24
Canola processing increased in Canada

Ölsaaten News, 01/26/2024

Bullish
  • Declining rapeseed production
  • Weather forecast in South America unfavorable
  • Rising crude oil markets
Bearish
  • US export figures below expectations
  • Vegetable oil prices under pressure
  • Stronger euro
Spot markets at a glance Euro/ton
Rapeseed Dec 29 Jan 11 Jan 11 Jan 18 Jan 25 +/-
Hamburg 436.00 426.00 421.00 417.00 432.00 15.00
Straubingen 431.00 421.00 416.00 412.00 427.00 15.00
Soybean meal
Hamburg 469.00 462.00 448.00 467.00 454.00 -13.00
Magdeburg 479.00 472.00 458.00 477.00 464.00 -13.00
Mainz 489.00 483.00 469.00 483.00 467.00 -16.00
Rapeseed meal
Hamburg 314.00 295.00 293.00 312.00 312.00 0.00
Hamm 322.00 311.00 283.00 289.00 290.00 1.00
Lower Rhine 310.00 302.00 274.00 283.00 286.00 3.00

The soy complex had to give way across the board yesterday. Beans in particular recorded losses of up to double digits in yesterday's trading. The March contract recorded a loss of $17.25 US cents/bushel to $1,223.00 US cents/bushel and therefore costs the equivalent of 414.55 euros/ton. The shot contracts also ended the day in the red. The soy export figures for beans were 561,000 tons and for meal 256,000 tons. Both results were below analysts' expectations and fueled selling on the stock market. In Brazil, the industry association has just increased its forecast for exports in the current month to 2.3 million tonnes, further creating a bad mood. Meanwhile, harvesting work continues in Brazil and has so far achieved 6% progress. However, rainfall is expected for the coming week, meaning the harvest could stall again. For the Euronext rapeseed, the scoreboards lit up red again yesterday. All appointments had to cope with another day of losses. Canola contracts on the Canadian stock exchange were also unable to escape the weak conditions and had to give way significantly. According to the local statistics agency, around 0.943 million were recorded in Canada. Tons of oilseeds processed. This corresponds to an increase of around 14% compared to the previous year.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Prices in the oilseed markets did not find a consistent direction this week. After the gains of the past few days, soybeans in particular had to fall significantly again shortly before the weekend. Geopolitical conflicts also continue to determine the markets. Market participants expect logistics problems in the coming weeks, especially in the Red Sea. Accordingly, it remains a rather volatile grain market this week.

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29.
09.24
08:44

Oilseeds: EU-KOM cuts rapeseed harvest 2024/25 below multi-year average. In its market report at the end of Sep. 2024, the EU Commission assumes a rapeseed harvest of only 17.1 million tons. This compares to 19.7 million tons in the previous year. The decisive factors here are the -7.3 % reduction in acreage and the -6.3 % drop in yields per…

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17.
09.24
10:38

Oilseed market: high soybean supply, rapeseed and sunflower in short supply, palm oil limited. The 2024/25 oilseed market is positioned very differently depending on the raw material. Record harvests are expected for the dominant soybean sector until the first half of 2025. If consumption increases less strongly, stocks will rise and put pressure…

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13.
09.24
11:33

The USDA's Sep. 2024 estimate for oilseed supply in 2024/25 confirmed an above-average global supply situation overall, despite a slight downward revision compared to the previous month. Total production increases by +4.5% to 687 million tons. Consumption is estimated at 667.5 million tons. Inventories increase by +15.3 % compared to the previous…

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