01.
09.23
Signs are friendly

Ölsaaten News, 09/01/2023

Bullish
  • lower harvest in Canada
  • geopolitical situation
  • Heat wave USA
Bearish
  • Record harvest in Brazil
  • Harvest prospects Ukraine
Spot markets at a glance Euro/ton
Rapeseed Aug 3 Aug 10 Aug 17 Aug 24 Aug 31 +/-
Hamburg 429.00 447.00 446.00 455.00 448.00 -7.00
Straubingen 438.00 456.00 456.00 465.00 459.00 -6.00
Soybean meal
Hamburg 482.00 451.00 439.00 456.00 465.00 9.00
Magdeburg 492.00 461.00 449.00 466.00 475.00 9.00
Mainz 503.00 496.00 501.00 501.00 510.00 9.00
Rapeseed meal
Hamburg 302.00 302.00 302.00 302.00 296.00 -6.00
Hamm 299.00 305.00 301.00 298.00 298.00 0.00
Lower Rhine 289.00 296.00 287.00 293.00 292.00 -1.00

Raps has found his way back on track and has recently appeared stronger again. Even with the start of trading today, Euronext/Matif shows friendlier and rising trends for oilseeds. Prices on the cash markets have recently been weaker due to mills' low willingness to buy. Rapeseed meal tends to be stable to slightly weaker. The harvest has begun in Canada. Currently around 10 percent of the holdings are said to have been brought in. Statistics Canada recently revised the rapeseed harvest downwards. 17.6 million tonnes are expected to be harvested here, around 1.1 million tonnes less than in the previous year. The Federal Ministry of Agriculture has reported a rapeseed harvest of 4.2 million tons for Germany. This means that around 3 percent less was harvested than in 2022. The first cultivation estimates for the coming harvest are likely to come soon. Soybean prices increased this week. Hot temperatures in the Midwest and the Corn Belt in particular have boosted prices. Because of a public holiday on Monday, there was a lot of profit-taking yesterday. Today, soy is trending higher again as the trading session opens.While Brazilian sales have developed less dynamically than was previously reported by the industry association Anec, China is particularly interested in US beans. For five days in a row, the USDA reported flash sales of over 100,000 tons and the weekly export sales released yesterday were also very solid. Soybean meal prices also rose this week. This also had an impact on prices in Europe. Soybean meal at the wholesale level became more expensive throughout Germany.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The signs for oilseeds are still green. The heat in the USA and Canada has taken its toll on the plants. Farmers will begin the soybean harvest in September, which could put temporary pressure on prices and geopolitical tensions will also remain on the market.

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29.
09.24
08:44

Oilseeds: EU-KOM cuts rapeseed harvest 2024/25 below multi-year average. In its market report at the end of Sep. 2024, the EU Commission assumes a rapeseed harvest of only 17.1 million tons. This compares to 19.7 million tons in the previous year. The decisive factors here are the -7.3 % reduction in acreage and the -6.3 % drop in yields per…

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17.
09.24
10:38

Oilseed market: high soybean supply, rapeseed and sunflower in short supply, palm oil limited. The 2024/25 oilseed market is positioned very differently depending on the raw material. Record harvests are expected for the dominant soybean sector until the first half of 2025. If consumption increases less strongly, stocks will rise and put pressure…

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13.
09.24
11:33

The USDA's Sep. 2024 estimate for oilseed supply in 2024/25 confirmed an above-average global supply situation overall, despite a slight downward revision compared to the previous month. Total production increases by +4.5% to 687 million tons. Consumption is estimated at 667.5 million tons. Inventories increase by +15.3 % compared to the previous…

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